Fixtures & Predictions

Serie B predictions

20 matches ahead, from 10 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Benevento, 46% against Cesena. 2 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC

Saturday 10 October — 10 matches

  • 13:00 UTC Benevento vs Cesena — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00.
  • 13:00 UTC Empoli vs Palermo — model 30% / 30% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.33 · 2.50.
  • 13:00 UTC Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia — model 39% / 31% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.23 · 3.33.
  • 13:00 UTC Avellino vs Sampdoria — model 42% / 31% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.23 · 3.70.
  • 13:00 UTC Padova vs Carrarese — model 40% / 32% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.13 · 3.57.
  • 13:00 UTC Arezzo vs Cremonese — model 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 3.70 · 2.22.
  • 13:00 UTC Modena vs Hellas Verona — model 38% / 31% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.23 · 3.23.
  • 13:00 UTC Sudtirol vs Ascoli — model 36% / 32% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.13 · 3.13.
  • 13:00 UTC Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa — model 34% / 29% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.45 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 13:00 UTC Catanzaro vs Mantova — model 42% / 27% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.70 · 3.23.

Saturday 17 October — 10 matches

  • 13:00 UTC Sampdoria vs Arezzo — model 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.57 · 3.57.
  • 13:00 UTC Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro — model 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.45 · 3.70.
  • 13:00 UTC Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus — model 46% / 28% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.57 · 3.85.
  • 13:00 UTC Ascoli vs Empoli — model 46% / 30% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.33 · 4.17.
  • 13:00 UTC Cesena vs Avellino — model 38% / 30% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.33 · 3.13.
  • 13:00 UTC Pisa vs Cremonese — model 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.33 · 3.03.
  • 13:00 UTC Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol — model 36% / 32% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.13 · 3.13.
  • 13:00 UTC Padova vs Virtus Entella — model 39% / 31% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.23 · 3.33.
  • 13:00 UTC Carrarese vs Modena — model 31% / 32% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.13 · 2.70.
  • 13:00 UTC Mantova vs Palermo — model 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.45 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach

Last round: the model's hits and misses

18–20 September: the model called the result of 5 of 10 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

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