Predicted scorelines and win probabilities for football's biggest matches — powered by expected goals, current form and head-to-head record. Clear, honest, and built to compare.
★ Match of the day
The model makes Manchester City 49% to win, the draw 24% and Brighton 27% — fair odds 2.04 · 4.17 · 3.70 — with 2-1 the most likely scoreline, at medium confidence. Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
The day's most important matches across every competition we cover — ranked by our model. See all matches — recent results and the days ahead — on the fixtures page.
The 15 most important matches on 31 October 2026, across every competition we cover, ranked by the model.
6 of the most important matches played on 30 October 2026, with the final score and the call the model published before kick-off. Across all 78 it called 38 correct — 49%, against 48% over every prediction on record.
Previews and reviews built from the model's own probabilities and expected goals — what the numbers say about the biggest matches of the next seven days.
The model makes it 36% Atletico Madrid, 23% draw, 41% Bayern München — most likely 1-2 (fair odds 2.44 on Bayern München).
3 November 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueThe model makes it 51% Barcelona, 22% draw, 27% Aston Villa — most likely 2-1 (fair odds 1.96 on Barcelona).
3 November 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueThe model makes it 39% Manchester United, 24% draw, 37% AS Roma — most likely 2-1 (fair odds 2.56 on Manchester United).
3 November 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueThe model makes it 33% RB Leipzig, 24% draw, 43% Manchester City — most likely 1-2 (fair odds 2.33 on Manchester City).
4 November 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueThe model makes it 23% Villarreal, 21% draw, 56% Paris Saint Germain — most likely 1-2 (fair odds 1.79 on Paris Saint Germain).
3 November 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueThe model makes it 44% PSV Eindhoven, 23% draw, 33% Club Brugge KV — most likely 2-1 (fair odds 2.27 on PSV Eindhoven).
4 November 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueEvery prediction is logged before kickoff and checked against the real result — a transparent, automatically-updated record of how the model actually does.
The hit rate is only half the question. The full track record scores every settled prediction against an uninformed baseline and shows, band by band, whether a 70% from this model really happens 70 times in 100 — including where it does not.