Serie B (Italy)

1. Palermo — 23 points from 9 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 21 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
2. Modena — 19 points from 9 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 17 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
3. Ascoli — 18 points from 9 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 16 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W D D W W.
4. Mantova — 17 points from 9 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
5. Benevento — 15 points from 9 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
6. Pisa — 15 points from 9 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 18 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D W W D D.
7. Padova — 13 points from 9 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 9 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L L W W.
8. Sudtirol — 13 points from 9 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
9. Hellas Verona — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W L D D W.
10. Avellino — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L W D L D.
11. Cesena — 11 points from 9 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L D L W.
12. Virtus Entella — 10 points from 9 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D D W L D.
13. Carrarese — 10 points from 9 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 9 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L W W L W.
14. Arezzo — 10 points from 9 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 9 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L D W L L.
15. Cremonese — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 8 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D D L L W.
16. Vicenza Virtus — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
17. Juve Stabia — 8 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 9 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D D W W L.
18. Empoli — 7 points from 9 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 8 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.
19. Sampdoria — 5 points from 9 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 8 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: W L L D L.
20. Catanzaro — 5 points from 9 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 10 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-28, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 19 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Carrarese — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk down 6.1, to 9.7%.
• Hellas Verona — chance of finishing top up 1, to 2.1%; bottom-three risk down 1.7, to 2.2%.
• Arezzo — bottom-three risk up 1.1, to 47.4%.
• Cesena — bottom-three risk up 1, to 26.9%.
• Empoli — bottom-three risk up 1, to 38.7%.

Season projection

Every one of the 290 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Quarter-finals, Relegation Play-offs - Final, Semi-finals, and on from there follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-28, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Palermo — projected to finish on 76 points, from 23 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 44.3% (down 0.3), finishes top two 67.5%, bottom three 0%.
2. Ascoli — projected to finish on 72.7 points, from 18 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 27.7% (down 0.4), finishes top two 53.7%, bottom three 0%.
3. Modena — projected to finish on 67.5 points, from 19 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 11.5% (down 0.2), finishes top two 29%, bottom three 0%.
4. Pisa — projected to finish on 64 points, from 15 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 7.7% (down 0.1), finishes top two 20.5%, bottom three 0.2%.
5. Benevento — projected to finish on 62.5 points, from 15 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.4%, finishes top two 13.5%, bottom three 0.4%.
6. Hellas Verona — projected to finish on 57.4 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.1% (up 1), finishes top two 6.3%, bottom three 2.2%.
7. Mantova — projected to finish on 57 points, from 17 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.2%, finishes top two 4.8%, bottom three 1.5%.
8. Padova — projected to finish on 51.4 points, from 13 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4%, finishes top two 1.3%, bottom three 6.7%.
9. Avellino — projected to finish on 49.9 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.6%, bottom three 6.9%.
10. Sudtirol — projected to finish on 49.5 points, from 13 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.5%, bottom three 8.6%.
11. Carrarese — projected to finish on 48.8 points, from 10 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top two 0.5%, bottom three 9.7%.
12. Juve Stabia — projected to finish on 48.4 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.4%, bottom three 9.6%.
13. Vicenza Virtus — projected to finish on 46.2 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top two 0.8%, bottom three 18.2%.
14. Virtus Entella — projected to finish on 45.9 points, from 10 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom three 16.5%.
15. Cremonese — projected to finish on 44.7 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.2%, bottom three 19.7%.
16. Catanzaro — projected to finish on 44.6 points, from 5 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom three 23%.
17. Cesena — projected to finish on 42.5 points, from 11 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 26.9%.
18. Empoli — projected to finish on 40 points, from 7 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 38.7%.
19. Arezzo — projected to finish on 38.3 points, from 10 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 47.4%.
20. Sampdoria — projected to finish on 34.5 points, from 5 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 63.9%.

Top scorers

1. C. Shpendi (Cesena) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
2. D. Johnsen (Palermo) — 6 goals, 5 assists.
3. A. Belotti (Modena) — 6 goals.
4. D. Mosquera (Hellas Verona) — 6 goals.
5. F. Ruocco (Mantova) — 5 goals.
6. Antonio Di Nardo (Juve Stabia) — 5 goals.
7. R. Russo (Avellino) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
8. A. Silipo (Ascoli) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
9. D. Vavassori (Palermo) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
10. F. Pittarello (Pisa) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
11. F. Bonazzoli (Cremonese) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
12. G. Ambrosino (Modena) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
13. G. Caso (Modena) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
14. G. Gori (Ascoli) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
15. T. Marras (Pisa) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
16. M. Besaggio (Avellino) — 3 goals.
17. A. Siatounis (Benevento) — 3 goals.
18. T. Rubino (Carrarese) — 3 goals.
19. L. Insigne (Sampdoria) — 3 goals.
20. E. Saporiti (Empoli) — 3 goals.