Conference League predictions & fixtures

Thursday 15 October — 18 matches

16:45 UTC FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda — model 45% / 30% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.33 · 4.00.
16:45 UTC HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax — model 28% / 29% / 43%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.57 · 3.45 · 2.33.
16:45 UTC Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka — model 61% / 23% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.64 · 4.35 · 6.25.
16:45 UTC Gent vs Aarhus — model 55% / 26% / 19%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.85 · 5.26.
16:45 UTC Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — model 41% / 33% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.03 · 3.85.
16:45 UTC CSKA Sofia vs Monaco — model 28% / 28% / 44%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 3.57 · 2.27.
16:45 UTC KuPS vs Trabzonspor — model 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.85 · 3.70 · 2.13.
16:45 UTC Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes — model 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.57 · 3.33.
16:45 UTC Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland — model 20% / 26% / 54%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 5.00 · 3.85 · 1.85.
16:45 UTC Riga vs Kairat Almaty — model 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.57 · 3.57.
19:00 UTC Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris — model 79% / 14% / 7%, most likely 4-0, fair odds 1.27 · 7.14 · 14.29.
19:00 UTC SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec — model 61% / 23% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.64 · 4.35 · 6.25.
19:00 UTC Heart of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland — model 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.45 · 3.13.
19:00 UTC Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC — model 64% / 22% / 14%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.56 · 4.55 · 7.14.
19:00 UTC FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
19:00 UTC Twente vs FC Thun — model 64% / 22% / 14%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.56 · 4.55 · 7.14.
19:00 UTC Atalanta vs Pafos — model 54% / 27% / 19%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.85 · 3.70 · 5.26.
19:00 UTC St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 — model 65% / 21% / 14%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.54 · 4.76 · 7.14.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

27 August: the model called the result of 11 of 20 matches.

Qarabag 1–4 Twente — the model said 21% / 26% / 53%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
SC Freiburg 4–1 Motherwell — the model said 77% / 15% / 8%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
Monaco 4–1 Gornik Zabrze — the model said 61% / 23% / 16%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Brann 3–2 PAOK — the model said 33% / 25% / 42%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
FC Copenhagen 4–1 Inter Turku — the model said 57% / 27% / 16%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Hradec Králové 1–2 Panathinaikos — the model said 56% / 24% / 20%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Inter Club d'Escaldes 0–0 Drita — the model said 29% / 20% / 51%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
Pafos 4–2 Dinamo Tirana — the model said 31% / 28% / 41%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Raków Częstochowa 2–3 HNK Hajduk Split — the model said 61% / 21% / 18%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Riga 2–1 KI Klaksvik — the model said 71% / 18% / 11%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 Atalanta — the model said 14% / 21% / 65%, most likely 0-2: result correct.
Ajax 5–3 FC Sion — the model said 59% / 23% / 18%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
FC St. Gallen 2–3 FC Nordsjaelland — the model said 42% / 23% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Austria Vienna 0–0 SC Braga — the model said 18% / 28% / 54%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Borac Banja Luka 3–1 Vikingur Reykjavik — the model said 56% / 20% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Brighton 4–0 Tromso — the model said 74% / 17% / 9%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
HNK Rijeka 1–4 FC Midtjylland — the model said 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Hibernian 2–3 Gent — the model said 16% / 22% / 62%, most likely 0-2: result correct.
Larne 0–3 Lincoln Red Imps FC — the model said 26% / 31% / 43%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
FK Partizan 2–1 Getafe — the model said 10% / 15% / 75%, most likely 0-2: result missed.