League Stage - 4 · 26 November 2026, 20:00 UTC

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC Copenhagen UEFA Europa Conference League prediction

Estadi de la FAF, Encamp

Our model says: Inter Club d'Escaldes 0–2 FC Copenhagen

The model makes it 14% Inter Club d'Escaldes, 20% draw, 66% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 7.14, 5.00 and 1.52.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (10%).

Expected goals: Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.93, FC Copenhagen 2.54.

Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

One-sided: FC Copenhagen are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Inter Club d'Escaldes's rating is built from its last 6 matches; FC Copenhagen's from 47 Danish Superliga matches over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. In European competition both ratings are rescaled to the strength of their league and adjusted by their European results over this season and last: 9 matches for Inter Club d'Escaldes, 21 for FC Copenhagen. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,130 matches.

Key facts

  • Inter Club d'Escaldes are 35th on 0 points from 3 games; FC Copenhagen are 7th on 7 points from 3 games — UEFA Europa Conference League.
  • Inter Club d'Escaldes have not won in their last 3 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • FC Copenhagen are unbeaten in their last 3 games (2 won), most recently a 2-1 win at home to FC Iberia 1999.

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC Copenhagen

56%
Both teams to score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Inter Club d'Escaldes win Draw FC Copenhagen win
  1. 0–210%
  2. 1–29%
  3. 0–38%
  4. 1–38%
  5. 1–18%
  6. 0–18%
  7. 0–45%

Scores read Inter Club d'Escaldes first; the other scorelines share the remaining 44%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Copenhagen at 66%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC Copenhagen

Inter Club d'Escaldes

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • L1-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda5 November 2026
  • L1-3Universitatea Craiova22 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Mjallby AIF15 October 2026

FC Copenhagen

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • W2-1FC Iberia 19995 November 2026
  • D2-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda22 October 2026
  • W3-0SC Braga15 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
35Inter Club d'Escaldes300327-50
7FC Copenhagen321073+47

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Leading scorers: Inter Club d'Escaldes and FC Copenhagen

Inter Club d'Escaldes

No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

FC Copenhagen

GoalsAssists

  • M. Elyounoussi53
  • A. Cornelius52
  • Robert41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Inter Club d'Escaldes FC Copenhagen
0.5 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.93
2.33 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 0.96
0.93 Model expected goals (this match) 2.54

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.93 expected goals for Inter Club d'Escaldes against 2.54 for FC Copenhagen. Inter Club d'Escaldes's attack/defence rating is 0.5/2.33 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.93/0.96 for FC Copenhagen.

How the model reaches 66% for FC Copenhagen to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FC Copenhagen to win. Then home advantage takes away 8 points, Inter Club d'Escaldes's ratings add 18 points and FC Copenhagen's ratings add 20 points, which lands on the published 66%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage28%−8
  3. Inter Club d'Escaldes's ratings46%+18
  4. FC Copenhagen's ratings66%+20

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Inter Club d'Escaldes

  • at Getafe10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 9%
  • vs Aarhus17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 18%

FC Copenhagen

  • vs FC Midtjylland29 Nov · Superligawin 41%
  • at AC Horsens6 Dec · Superligawin 48%
  • vs FC Lugano10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 48%
  • at Universitatea Craiova17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 26%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.