AFC Champions League Elite predictions

16 matches ahead, from 12 October to 14 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Al-Nassr, 76% against Neftchi Fergana. 2 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Monday 12 October — 6 matches

13:45 UTC Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — model 21% / 25% / 54%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.76 · 4.00 · 1.85.
16:00 UTC Tractor Sazi vs Al Shamal — model 38% / 31% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.23 · 3.23.
16:00 UTC Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56.
18:15 UTC Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC — model 35% / 31% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.86 · 3.23 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
18:15 UTC Al-Nassr vs Neftchi Fergana — model 76% / 15% / 9%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.32 · 6.67 · 11.11.
18:15 UTC Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain — model 18% / 25% / 57%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 5.56 · 4.00 · 1.75.

Tuesday 13 October — 8 matches

07:45 UTC Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka — model 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.85 · 2.94.
10:00 UTC Kyoto Sanga vs Ratchaburi — model 55% / 23% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.82 · 4.35 · 4.55.
10:00 UTC SHANGHAI SIPG vs Daejeon Citizen — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
10:00 UTC Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Takzim FC — model 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.70 · 3.03.
12:15 UTC Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13.
12:15 UTC Công An Nhân Dân vs Kashima — model 28% / 29% / 43%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.57 · 3.45 · 2.33.
16:00 UTC Al Sadd vs Al-Hilal — model 27% / 24% / 49%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.70 · 4.17 · 2.04.
18:15 UTC Al-Ittihad vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — model 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.57 · 3.57.

Wednesday 14 October — 2 matches

10:00 UTC Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC — model 65% / 21% / 14%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.54 · 4.76 · 7.14.
10:00 UTC Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70.