Tractor Sazi
vs
Al-Wasl FC
AFC Champions League Elite prediction
Our model says: Tractor Sazi 1–0 Al-Wasl FC
The model makes it 54% Tractor Sazi, 26% draw, 20% Al-Wasl FC — fair odds of 1.85, 3.85 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Tractor Sazi 1.82, Al-Wasl FC 0.90.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to Tractor Sazi: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Tractor Sazi's rating is built from 31 Persian Gulf Pro League matches and Al-Wasl FC's from 33 UAE Pro League matches, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 305 matches.
Key facts
- Tractor Sazi are 13th on 2 points from 4 games; Al-Wasl FC are 11th on 3 points from 3 games — AFC Champions League Elite, West Region.
- Tractor Sazi have not won in their last 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Neftchi Fergana.
- Al-Wasl FC have won 1 of their last 3 games, most recently a 4-3 win at home to Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
More AFC Champions League Elite predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Tractor Sazi vs Al-Wasl FC
Has the model earned this number?
Tractor Sazi at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Tractor Sazi vs Al-Wasl FC
Tractor Sazi
AFC Champions League Elite
- D2-2Neftchi Fergana2 November 2026
- L1-2away to Al Ain26 October 2026
- D0-0Al Shamal12 October 2026
- L0-1away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai14 September 2026
Al-Wasl FC
AFC Champions League Elite
- W4-3Al Quwa Al Jawiya2 November 2026
- L1-3Al-Ahli Jeddah12 October 2026
- L1-2away to Al-Qadisiyah FC14 September 2026
What these results say
- Tractor Sazi did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Tractor Sazi conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tractor Sazi | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 11 | Al-Wasl FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Leading scorers: Tractor Sazi and Al-Wasl FC
Tractor Sazi
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Al-Wasl FC
GoalsAssists
- Pedro Malheiro21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Al-Wasl FC (11th, with Tractor Sazi 13th), while our numbers lean to Tractor Sazi. Tractor Sazi rate 0.78 in attack and 0.92 in defence, Al-Wasl FC 0.77 and 1.29 (lower is better in defence), so Tractor Sazi have been the better side in defence on recent expected goals, which the 1-point gap in the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Tractor Sazi the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.82 expected goals for Tractor Sazi against 0.90 for Al-Wasl FC. Tractor Sazi's attack/defence rating is 0.78/0.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.29 for Al-Wasl FC.
How the model reaches 54% for Tractor Sazi to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Tractor Sazi to win. Then home advantage adds 10 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Tractor Sazi's ratings add 3 points and Al-Wasl FC's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 54%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage47%+10
- Both sides at this match's level45%−2
- Tractor Sazi's ratings48%+3
- Al-Wasl FC's ratings54%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Tractor Sazi at home · Al-Wasl FC away
League matches only, this season — Tractor Sazi in the Persian Gulf Pro League, Al-Wasl FC in the Pro League; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All league matches this season: Tractor Sazi 10 in the Persian Gulf Pro League, Al-Wasl FC 7 in the Pro League.
Tractor Sazi score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Al-Wasl FC have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Tractor Sazi
- vs ZOB Ahan28 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 65%
- at Foolad FC2 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 38%
- at Pakhtakor7 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 58%
- at Fajr Sepasi12 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 50%
Al-Wasl FC
- at Al Wahda FC3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 40%
- vs Al-Ittihad7 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 39%
- vs Sharjah FC12 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 49%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.