Champions League predictions

Tuesday 13 October — 9 matches

• 16:45 UTC Lens vs Sporting CP — model 33% / 25% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 4.00 · 2.38.
• 16:45 UTC Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha — model 31% / 26% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.85 · 2.33.
• 19:00 UTC Arsenal vs Lille — model 52% / 27% / 21%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.92 · 3.70 · 4.76.
• 19:00 UTC RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven — model 43% / 25% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 4.00 · 3.13.
• 19:00 UTC Inter vs Club Brugge KV — model 46% / 24% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 4.17 · 3.33.
• 19:00 UTC Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United — model 46% / 25% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 4.00 · 3.45.
• 19:00 UTC Villarreal vs Napoli — model 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.85 · 2.94.
• 19:00 UTC Galatasaray vs Barcelona — model 28% / 24% / 48%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 4.17 · 2.08.
• 19:00 UTC Viking vs Bayern München — model 27% / 25% / 48%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.70 · 4.00 · 2.08.

Wednesday 14 October — 9 matches

• 16:45 UTC Feyenoord vs Como — model 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.70 · 3.03.
• 16:45 UTC Lask Linz vs Liverpool — model 27% / 25% / 48%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.70 · 4.00 · 2.08.
• 19:00 UTC Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain — model 49% / 25% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.04 · 4.00 · 3.85.
• 19:00 UTC Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe — model 44% / 25% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 4.00 · 3.23.
• 19:00 UTC Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund — model 32% / 28% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.57 · 2.50.
• 19:00 UTC AS Roma vs Real Madrid — model 47% / 26% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 3.85 · 3.70.
• 19:00 UTC Real Betis vs FC Porto — model 32% / 29% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.45 · 2.56.
• 19:00 UTC Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC — model 34% / 28% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.57 · 2.63.
• 19:00 UTC Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart — model 32% / 27% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.70 · 2.44.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

8–10 September: the model called the result of 12 of 18 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.

• AEK Athens FC 1–0 Lask Linz — the model said 54% / 26% / 20%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Club Brugge KV 2–3 Aston Villa — the model said 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal — the model said 49% / 27% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City — the model said 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Lille 2–3 Real Betis — the model said 38% / 30% / 32%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Real Madrid 2–1 Inter — the model said 39% / 27% / 34%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
• Barcelona 5–1 Feyenoord — the model said 61% / 22% / 17%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Viking — the model said 58% / 24% / 18%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Liverpool 2–1 Atletico Madrid — the model said 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Napoli 0–1 Arsenal — the model said 34% / 31% / 35%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.
• Paris Saint Germain 6–1 Slovan Bratislava — the model said 61% / 23% / 16%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Sporting CP 3–1 Galatasaray — the model said 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Fenerbahçe 1–1 AS Roma — the model said 26% / 26% / 48%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk — the model said 54% / 26% / 20%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
• Bayern München 5–0 Bodo/Glimt — the model said 56% / 25% / 19%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Como 4–1 RB Leipzig — the model said 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Manchester United 4–0 Sabah FA — the model said 76% / 15% / 9%, most likely 3-0: result correct.
• Slavia Praha 2–3 Lens — the model said 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result missed.