Slovan Bratislava
vs
Real Betis
UEFA Champions League prediction
Our model says: Slovan Bratislava 0–2 Real Betis
The model makes it 14% Slovan Bratislava, 20% draw, 66% Real Betis — fair odds of 7.14, 5.00 and 1.52.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (10%).
Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 0.96, Real Betis 2.56.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Real Betis are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 10 November 2026. Slovan Bratislava's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Real Betis's from 50 La Liga matches, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. In European competition both ratings are rescaled to the strength of their league and adjusted by their European results over this season and last: 19 matches for Slovan Bratislava, 16 for Real Betis. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 722 matches.
Key facts
- Slovan Bratislava are bottom on 0 points from 4 games; Real Betis are 11th on 9 points from 4 games — UEFA Champions League.
- Slovan Bratislava have not won in their last 4 games, most recently a 0-4 defeat away to Lask Linz.
- Real Betis have won 3 of their last 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Borussia Dortmund.
More Champions League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis
Has the model earned this number?
Real Betis at 66%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis
Slovan Bratislava
UEFA Champions League
- L0-4away to Lask Linz3 November 2026
- L0-4away to AS Roma20 October 2026
- L0-3VfB Stuttgart14 October 2026
- L1-6away to Paris Saint Germain9 September 2026
Real Betis
UEFA Champions League
- L1-2away to Borussia Dortmund4 November 2026
- W1-0Feyenoord21 October 2026
- W3-2FC Porto14 October 2026
- W3-2away to Lille8 September 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Bratislava did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Slovan Bratislava had three goals or more.
- Real Betis scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Real Betis won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Real Betis conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Real Betis the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.96 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava against 2.56 for Real Betis. Slovan Bratislava's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.22 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.27/0.85 for Real Betis.
How the model reaches 66% for Real Betis to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for Real Betis to win. Then home advantage takes away 9 points, Slovan Bratislava's ratings add 17 points and Real Betis's ratings add 20 points, which lands on the published 66%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground38%
- Home advantage29%−9
- Slovan Bratislava's ratings46%+17
- Real Betis's ratings66%+20
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Slovan Bratislava's most recent league matches and Real Betis's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Slovan Bratislava at home · Real Betis away
League matches only, this season — Slovan Bratislava in the Super Liga, Real Betis in the La Liga; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All league matches this season: Slovan Bratislava 14 in the Super Liga, Real Betis 12 in the La Liga.
Slovan Bratislava score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Real Betis have let in 3 there.
Real Betis score most often in the 31–45 minute window (8 goals); Slovan Bratislava have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Slovan Bratislava
- vs FK Košice28 Nov · Super Ligawin 60%
- at Zemplín Michalovce5 Dec · Super Ligawin 53%
- vs Shakhtar Donetsk9 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 31%
- vs Dunajska Streda13 Dec · Super Ligawin 37%
Real Betis
- vs Rayo Vallecano28 Nov · La Ligawin 58%
- at Atletico Madrid6 Dec · La Ligawin 24%
- vs Como9 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 40%
- vs Racing Santander13 Dec · La Ligawin 72%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.