Fixtures & Predictions

Segunda División predictions

26 matches ahead, from 3 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Castellón, 61% against AD Ceuta FC. 4 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC

Saturday 3 October — 4 matches

  • 12:00 UTC Albacete vs Eibar — model 29% / 30% / 41%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.45 · 3.33 · 2.44.
  • 14:15 UTC Almeria vs Burgos — model 40% / 30% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.33 · 3.33.
  • 16:30 UTC Cadiz vs Leganes — model 36% / 31% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.23 · 3.03. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 16:30 UTC Sabadell vs FC Andorra — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70.

Sunday 4 October — 5 matches

Monday 5 October — 1 match

  • 18:30 UTC Cordoba vs Tenerife — model 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.57 · 2.94.

Saturday 10 October — 3 matches

Sunday 11 October — 4 matches

  • 12:00 UTC FC Andorra vs Castellón — model 31% / 27% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.70 · 2.38.
  • 14:15 UTC Almeria vs Leganes — model 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.57 · 4.55.
  • 16:30 UTC Mallorca vs Las Palmas — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17.
  • 19:00 UTC Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon — model 32% / 30% / 38%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.33 · 2.63.

Monday 12 October — 4 matches

  • 12:00 UTC Valladolid vs Albacete — model 37% / 31% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.23 · 3.13.
  • 14:15 UTC Burgos vs Granada CF — model 47% / 29% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.45 · 4.17.
  • 16:30 UTC Oviedo vs Eibar — model 36% / 31% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.23 · 3.03. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 19:00 UTC Tenerife vs Girona — model 30% / 30% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.33 · 2.50.

Friday 16 October — 1 match

  • 18:30 UTC Leganes vs Cordoba — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33.

Saturday 17 October — 4 matches

  • 12:00 UTC Real Sociedad II vs Almeria — model 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.57 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 14:15 UTC Eibar vs Mallorca — model 39% / 30% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.33 · 3.23.
  • 16:30 UTC Sporting Gijon vs Albacete — model 44% / 30% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.33 · 3.85.
  • 19:00 UTC Las Palmas vs Castellón — model 32% / 29% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.45 · 2.56.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

2 October: the model called the result of 0 of 1 matches.

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