Mallorca
vs
Cordoba
Segunda División prediction
Our model says: Mallorca 1–0 Cordoba
The model makes it 54% Mallorca, 27% draw, 19% Cordoba — fair odds of 1.85, 3.70 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Mallorca 1.71, Cordoba 0.79.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,726 settled matches.
Edge to Mallorca: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 31 October 2026. Mallorca's rating is built from 11 Segunda División matches and Cordoba's from 53, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,057 matches.
Key facts
- Mallorca are 7th on 19 points from 11 games; Cordoba are 11th on 15 points from 11 games — Segunda División.
- Mallorca are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Leganes.
- Cordoba have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Eibar.
- Last 4 meetings: Mallorca 2 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 31 March 2019, ended Cordoba 3–2 Mallorca.
More Segunda División predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Mallorca vs Cordoba
Has the model earned this number?
Mallorca at 54%: of 1,310 settled 50–65% forecasts, 57.0% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Mallorca vs Cordoba
Mallorca
Segunda División
- D1-1away to Leganes24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Eibar17 October 2026
- W3-1Las Palmas11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Girona4 October 2026
- L0-1Almeria27 September 2026
Cordoba
Segunda División
- W2-0Eibar24 October 2026
- W1-0away to Leganes16 October 2026
- L1-2away to Eldense10 October 2026
- W3-2Tenerife5 October 2026
- L1-3away to Valladolid27 September 2026
What these results say
- Mallorca failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Mallorca conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mallorca had two goals or fewer.
- Cordoba scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 19 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Mallorca vs Cordoba
- 31 March 2019Cordoba 3–2 MallorcaSegunda División
- 11 November 2018Mallorca 3–0 CordobaSegunda División
- 23 April 2017Mallorca 1–1 CordobaSegunda División
- 11 November 2016Cordoba 0–2 MallorcaSegunda División
Leading scorers: Mallorca and Cordoba
Mallorca
GoalsAssists
- Fuentes61
Cordoba
GoalsAssists
- Percan41
- Eder García41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The two sides
Mallorca carry a model rating of 6.76 against 6.47 for Cordoba.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.71 goals for Mallorca and 0.79 for Cordoba.
Mallorca rate 0.66 in attack and 0.86 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Cordoba rate 0.77 and 1.67.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Mallorca a 4.2% chance of the title and Cordoba 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Mallorca the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.71 expected goals for Mallorca against 0.79 for Cordoba. Mallorca's attack/defence rating is 0.66/0.86 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.67 for Cordoba.
How the model reaches 54% for Mallorca to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Mallorca to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Mallorca's ratings add 4 points and Cordoba's ratings add 9 points, which lands on the published 54%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage43%+7
- Both sides at this match's level41%−2
- Mallorca's ratings45%+4
- Cordoba's ratings54%+9
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Mallorca at home · Cordoba away
League matches only, Segunda División, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
MallorcaCordoba
Mallorca are 7th after 11 Segunda División matches (between 1st and 12th so far); Cordoba are 11th after 11 (between 8th and 19th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Segunda División matches this season: Mallorca 11, Cordoba 11.
Mallorca score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Cordoba have let in 6 there.
Cordoba score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); Mallorca have let in 0 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Mallorca
- at Tenerife22 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 39%
- vs Castellón29 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 35%
- at Celta de Vigo II6 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 43%
Cordoba
- vs Oviedo22 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 37%
- at Cadiz29 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 34%
- vs Las Palmas6 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 43%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.