FC Andorra
vs
Leganes
Segunda División prediction
Our model says: FC Andorra 2–0 Leganes
The model makes it 55% FC Andorra, 24% draw, 21% Leganes — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Expected goals: FC Andorra 1.96, Leganes 1.00.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to FC Andorra: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. FC Andorra's rating is built from 54 Segunda División matches and Leganes's from 55, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,076 matches.
Key facts
- FC Andorra are 19th on 11 points from 12 games; Leganes are 18th on 12 points from 13 games — Segunda División.
- FC Andorra are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Tenerife.
- Leganes have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to Albacete.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 26 April 2026, ended Leganes 0–4 FC Andorra.
More Segunda División predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Andorra vs Leganes
Has the model earned this number?
FC Andorra at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Andorra vs Leganes
FC Andorra
Segunda División
- D2-2away to Tenerife2 November 2026
- L2-3Burgos26 October 2026
- L0-2away to Girona18 October 2026
- W1-0Castellón11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Sabadell4 October 2026
Leganes
Segunda División
- L1-3Albacete7 November 2026
- L3-4away to Valladolid2 November 2026
- D1-1Mallorca24 October 2026
- L0-1Cordoba16 October 2026
- L0-3away to Almeria11 October 2026
What these results say
- FC Andorra failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Leganes did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Leganes conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | FC Andorra | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Andorra
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 17% today
Leganes
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 64% today
From our Segunda División season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FC Andorra vs Leganes
- 26 April 2026Leganes 0–4 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 4 October 2025FC Andorra 1–2 LeganesSegunda División
- 14 January 2024FC Andorra 2–3 LeganesSegunda División
- 13 August 2023Leganes 0–1 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 21 May 2023Leganes 1–1 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 10 December 2022FC Andorra 1–1 LeganesSegunda División
Leading scorers: FC Andorra and Leganes
FC Andorra
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Cano52
Leganes
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Leganes (18th, with FC Andorra 19th), while our numbers lean to FC Andorra. FC Andorra rate 0.78 in attack and 1.57 in defence, Leganes 0.53 and 1.62 (lower is better in defence), so FC Andorra have been the better side at both ends on recent expected goals, which the 1-point gap in the table does not yet show.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Andorra a 0.1% chance of the title and Leganes 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on FC Andorra v Leganes has moved
First published on 6 Nov at 53% / 25% / 22% (home / draw / away). After 2 updates it reads 55% / 24% / 21%: the biggest move is FC Andorra's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- FC Andorra win55%▲ +2
- Draw24%▼ −1
- Leganes win21%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Andorra the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.96 expected goals for FC Andorra against 1.00 for Leganes. FC Andorra's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.57 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.62 for Leganes.
How the model reaches 55% for FC Andorra to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FC Andorra to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, FC Andorra's ratings add 7 points and Leganes's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 55%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage43%+7
- FC Andorra's ratings50%+7
- Leganes's ratings55%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FC Andorra at home · Leganes away
League matches only, Segunda División, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
FC AndorraLeganes
FC Andorra are 19th after 12 Segunda División matches (between 1st and 20th so far); Leganes are 18th after 13 (between 1st and 17th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Segunda División matches this season: FC Andorra 12, Leganes 13.
Leganes score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); FC Andorra have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
FC Andorra
- at Las Palmas29 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 29%
- vs Oviedo6 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 41%
- at Eldense13 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 35%
Leganes
- vs Sabadell29 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 29%
- at Real Sociedad II6 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 22%
- vs AD Ceuta FC13 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 45%
- at Sporting Gijon20 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 20%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.