League One predictions

Saturday 3 October — 3 matches

• 14:00 UTC Reading vs Bradford — model 40% / 31% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.23 · 3.45.
• 14:00 UTC Burton Albion vs Huddersfield — model 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.45 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 14:00 UTC Leyton Orient vs Plymouth — model 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.57 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach

Saturday 10 October — 12 matches

• 11:30 UTC Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon — model 51% / 27% / 22%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.96 · 3.70 · 4.55.
• 11:30 UTC Notts County vs Oxford United — model 31% / 31% / 38%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.23 · 2.63.
• 14:00 UTC Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33.
• 14:00 UTC Leicester vs Peterborough — model 52% / 27% / 21%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.92 · 3.70 · 4.76.
• 14:00 UTC Bradford vs Leyton Orient — model 40% / 31% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.23 · 3.45.
• 14:00 UTC Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading — model 33% / 29% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.45 · 2.63.
• 14:00 UTC Doncaster vs Burton Albion — model 36% / 30% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.33 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
• 14:00 UTC Wycombe vs Luton — model 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.70 · 3.03.
• 14:00 UTC Stevenage vs Wigan — model 43% / 32% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.13 · 4.00.
• 14:00 UTC Cambridge United vs Blackpool — model 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.57 · 3.45.
• 14:00 UTC Mansfield Town vs Bromley — model 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.00 · 4.76.
• 14:00 UTC Stockport County vs Barnsley — model 51% / 26% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 3.85 · 4.35.

Thursday 15 October — 1 match

• 19:00 UTC Mansfield Town vs Oxford United — model 34% / 30% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.33 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach

Saturday 17 October — 11 matches

• 11:30 UTC Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 11:30 UTC Peterborough vs Burton Albion — model 34% / 30% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.33 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 14:00 UTC Leicester vs Doncaster — model 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.57 · 4.35.
• 14:00 UTC Wigan vs Reading — model 29% / 30% / 41%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.45 · 3.33 · 2.44.
• 14:00 UTC Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon — model 45% / 30% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.33 · 4.00.
• 14:00 UTC Barnsley vs Cambridge United — model 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.57 · 2.56.
• 14:00 UTC Bradford vs Stevenage — model 38% / 34% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 2.94 · 3.57.
• 14:00 UTC Plymouth vs Huddersfield — model 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.57 · 3.23.
• 14:00 UTC Wycombe vs Notts County — model 42% / 29% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.45 · 3.45.
• 14:00 UTC Leyton Orient vs Blackpool — model 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.57 · 3.23.
• 14:00 UTC Stockport County vs Bromley — model 60% / 22% / 18%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.67 · 4.55 · 5.56.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

26 September: the model called the result of 1 of 4 matches.

• Cambridge United 1–1 AFC Wimbledon — the model said 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Plymouth 0–1 Burton Albion — the model said 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Stockport County 1–0 Peterborough — the model said 53% / 25% / 22%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Wycombe 2–2 Reading — the model said 37% / 27% / 36%, most likely 2-1: result missed.