League One

1. Huddersfield — 29 points from 14 played (8 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 28 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +16. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
2. Stockport County — 26 points from 14 played (8 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 26 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: W W D L W.
3. Oxford United — 26 points from 13 played (7 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 22 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W D W D W.
4. Luton — 24 points from 14 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 27 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
5. Plymouth — 23 points from 14 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 21 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W L L W D.
6. Reading — 22 points from 14 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 25 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: L W W D L.
7. Bradford — 22 points from 13 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W D D L.
8. Cambridge United — 21 points from 14 played (5 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 21 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
9. Sheffield Wednesday — 20 points from 13 played (5 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 22 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W L L D D.
10. Leicester — 19 points from 13 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 22 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L W D.
11. Mansfield Town — 19 points from 13 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 20 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W W L D.
12. Milton Keynes Dons — 18 points from 13 played (4 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 22 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W L W W W.
13. Wycombe — 18 points from 13 played (4 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 21 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W D D W.
14. Leyton Orient — 17 points from 13 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 19 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D W L L W.
15. Burton Albion — 17 points from 14 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 18 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L D D W L.
16. Stevenage — 16 points from 12 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.
17. Notts County — 14 points from 12 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L W D W.
18. AFC Wimbledon — 13 points from 13 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 9 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L L L D L.
19. Blackpool — 12 points from 12 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 17 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L W L D.
20. Doncaster — 12 points from 13 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 14 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
21. Wigan — 11 points from 14 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 9 lost), 11 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L L W D.
22. Peterborough — 10 points from 13 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 11 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
23. Barnsley — 9 points from 12 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 12 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
24. Bromley — 9 points from 13 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 13 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference -20. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-11-11, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 8 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Oxford United — chance of finishing top down 0.4, to 36%.
• Huddersfield — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 29.4%.
• Luton — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 10.3%.
• Blackpool — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 15%.
• Burton Albion — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 6.5%.

Season projection

Every one of the 394 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-11, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Oxford United — projected to finish on 88.3 points, from 26 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 36% (down 0.4), finishes top two 60%, bottom four 0%.
2. Huddersfield — projected to finish on 86.1 points, from 29 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 29.4% (up 0.2), finishes top two 50%, bottom four 0%.
3. Luton — projected to finish on 79 points, from 24 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 10.3% (up 0.2), finishes top two 21.8%, bottom four 0%.
4. Stockport County — projected to finish on 78.9 points, from 26 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.7%, finishes top two 22%, bottom four 0.2%.
5. Reading — projected to finish on 74.6 points, from 22 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4%, finishes top two 11.3%, bottom four 0.1%.
6. Plymouth — projected to finish on 73.2 points, from 23 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.2%, finishes top two 8.1%, bottom four 0.2%.
7. Bradford — projected to finish on 70.1 points, from 22 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.2%, finishes top two 3.8%, bottom four 0.3%.
8. Sheffield Wednesday — projected to finish on 69.5 points, from 20 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.2% (up 0.1), finishes top two 3.9%, bottom four 0.9%.
9. Mansfield Town — projected to finish on 69.3 points, from 19 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.8%, finishes top two 4.8%, bottom four 0.7%.
10. Leicester — projected to finish on 65.9 points, from 19 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.3%, finishes top two 3.4%, bottom four 2.8%.
11. Stevenage — projected to finish on 65.6 points, from 16 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5%, finishes top two 1.8%, bottom four 1.6%.
12. Notts County — projected to finish on 65.4 points, from 14 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5%, finishes top two 2.1%, bottom four 2.2%.
13. Wycombe — projected to finish on 65.2 points, from 18 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6%, finishes top two 2%, bottom four 2.8%.
14. Milton Keynes Dons — projected to finish on 64.2 points, from 18 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.7%, finishes top two 2.3%, bottom four 5%.
15. Leyton Orient — projected to finish on 63.5 points, from 17 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top two 1.4%, bottom four 3.2%.
16. Cambridge United — projected to finish on 62.8 points, from 21 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4%, finishes top two 1.2%, bottom four 4.1%.
17. Burton Albion — projected to finish on 57.8 points, from 17 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top two 0.5%, bottom four 11.7%.
18. Blackpool — projected to finish on 53.4 points, from 12 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0.1%, bottom four 24.1%.
19. Doncaster — projected to finish on 48.5 points, from 12 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 39.2%.
20. Barnsley — projected to finish on 47.9 points, from 9 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 44.1%.
21. Peterborough — projected to finish on 46.6 points, from 10 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 47.2%.
22. Wigan — projected to finish on 45.4 points, from 11 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 52.2%.
23. AFC Wimbledon — projected to finish on 43.1 points, from 13 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 63.6%.
24. Bromley — projected to finish on 32.9 points, from 9 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 94%.

Top scorers

1. A. Collins (Milton Keynes Dons) — 13 goals, 3 assists.
2. J. Taylor (Huddersfield) — 10 goals, 2 assists.
3. K. Wootton (Stockport County) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
4. J. Marriott (Reading) — 8 goals.
5. D. Sanches Fernandes (Huddersfield) — 7 goals, 6 assists.
6. N. Wells (Luton) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
7. M. Smith (Mansfield Town) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
8. M. Harris (Oxford United) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
9. J. Stockley (AFC Wimbledon) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
10. E. Riis (Leicester) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
11. J. Wareham (Wycombe) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
12. Kyreece Lisbie (Reading) — 5 goals, 4 assists.
13. J. Diamond (Stockport County) — 5 goals, 3 assists.
14. A. Pepple (Plymouth) — 5 goals.
15. J. Lowe (Sheffield Wednesday) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
16. F. Onyedinma (Wycombe) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
17. J. Donley (Luton) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
18. B. Knight (Cambridge United) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
19. G. O'Donkor (Oxford United) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
20. J. Kabia (Leyton Orient) — 4 goals, 2 assists.