League Tables

League One

The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works.

  1. Bradford — 15 points from 7 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost), 7 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L L W W W.
  2. Sheffield Wednesday — 14 points from 7 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 13 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W W W D D.
  3. Plymouth — 13 points from 7 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W L W W W.
  4. Huddersfield — 12 points from 7 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 11 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: W W D D L.
  5. Cambridge United — 12 points from 7 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 12 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W D W D.
  6. Oxford United — 11 points from 6 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 13 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
  7. AFC Wimbledon — 11 points from 7 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 5 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
  8. Reading — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: D W W L W.
  9. Stockport County — 10 points from 7 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.
  10. Leyton Orient — 10 points from 7 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: L W D L W.
  11. Stevenage — 9 points from 7 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 11 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D D W W L.
  12. Burton Albion — 9 points from 7 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L W D L D.
  13. Leicester — 9 points from 7 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 9 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D W L W D.
  14. Wycombe — 9 points from 7 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 11 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L D W W.
  15. Blackpool — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W L L D L.
  16. Luton — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W D L L.
  17. Mansfield Town — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W L L D D.
  18. Barnsley — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W W L L D.
  19. Bromley — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 8 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L L D W.
  20. Notts County — 7 points from 7 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 7 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W D D L L.
  21. Doncaster — 6 points from 7 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 8 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D D L L W.
  22. Milton Keynes Dons — 6 points from 7 played (0 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost), 8 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D D D.
  23. Peterborough — 5 points from 7 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 4 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L D L D L.
  24. Wigan — 4 points from 7 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 5 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-23, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 22 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

  • Barnsley — bottom-three risk down 0.5, to 11%.
  • Doncaster — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 0.2%; bottom-three risk up 0.5, to 14.5%.
  • Milton Keynes Dons — bottom-three risk down 0.5, to 38.7%.
  • Wigan — bottom-three risk up 0.4, to 49.1%.
  • AFC Wimbledon — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 0.5%; bottom-three risk up 0.3, to 4.7%.

Season projection

Every one of the 469 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-23, the last update whose numbers changed.

  1. Plymouth — projected to finish on 79.6 points, from 13 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 31.1%, finishes top four 72.7%, bottom three 0%.
  2. Cambridge United — projected to finish on 75.7 points, from 12 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 15.7% (up 0.2), finishes top four 54%, bottom three 0.1%.
  3. Oxford United — projected to finish on 74.4 points, from 11 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 12.7%, finishes top four 47.3%, bottom three 0.2%.
  4. Huddersfield — projected to finish on 74.4 points, from 12 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 11.9% (down 0.3), finishes top four 47.2%, bottom three 0.1%.
  5. Bradford — projected to finish on 72.4 points, from 15 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 7.3% (down 0.1), finishes top four 35.8%, bottom three 0.3%.
  6. Reading — projected to finish on 71.2 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.9% (up 0.2), finishes top four 32.3%, bottom three 0.4%.
  7. Stockport County — projected to finish on 70.6 points, from 10 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.8% (down 0.1), finishes top four 30.6%, bottom three 0.5%.
  8. Burton Albion — projected to finish on 66 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.5% (down 0.1), finishes top four 13.9%, bottom three 2.2%.
  9. Stevenage — projected to finish on 65 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.4%, finishes top four 11.6%, bottom three 2.4%.
  10. Sheffield Wednesday — projected to finish on 65 points, from 14 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.2% (down 0.1), finishes top four 10.8%, bottom three 2.5%.
  11. Leicester — projected to finish on 64.4 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.3%, finishes top four 9.6%, bottom three 2.7%.
  12. Blackpool — projected to finish on 62.8 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.8%, finishes top four 6.8%, bottom three 4.3%.
  13. AFC Wimbledon — projected to finish on 62.4 points, from 11 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5% (down 0.1), finishes top four 5.6%, bottom three 4.7%.
  14. Leyton Orient — projected to finish on 61.7 points, from 10 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6% (up 0.1), finishes top four 5.6%, bottom three 5%.
  15. Luton — projected to finish on 61.1 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.5% (up 0.1), finishes top four 4.7%, bottom three 7%.
  16. Wycombe — projected to finish on 60.1 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4% (up 0.1), finishes top four 3.5%, bottom three 8.6%.
  17. Notts County — projected to finish on 59.2 points, from 7 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 2.8%, bottom three 9.9%.
  18. Barnsley — projected to finish on 58.9 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 2.5%, bottom three 11%.
  19. Doncaster — projected to finish on 57.4 points, from 6 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (up 0.1), finishes top four 1.7%, bottom three 14.5%.
  20. Mansfield Town — projected to finish on 53.2 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom three 30.1%.
  21. Milton Keynes Dons — projected to finish on 51.3 points, from 6 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 38.7%.
  22. Bromley — projected to finish on 50.4 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 45.3%.
  23. Wigan — projected to finish on 49.3 points, from 4 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 49.1%.
  24. Peterborough — projected to finish on 47.3 points, from 5 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 60.7%.

Top scorers

  1. J. Marriott (Reading) — 8 goals.
  2. A. Collins (Milton Keynes Dons) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
  3. J. Taylor (Huddersfield) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
  4. J. Diamond (Stockport County) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
  5. K. Wootton (Stockport County) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  6. V. Adeboyejo (Bromley) — 4 goals.
  7. N. Wells (Luton) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  8. J. Lowe (Sheffield Wednesday) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  9. Y. Akhamrich (Leyton Orient) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
  10. D. Kemp (Stevenage) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  11. G. O'Donkor (Oxford United) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  12. M. Harris (Oxford United) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  13. L. Barry (Sheffield Wednesday) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  14. O. Sanderson (Stevenage) — 3 goals.
  15. H. Wood (Stockport County) — 3 goals.
  16. B. Knight (Cambridge United) — 3 goals.
  17. A. Pepple (Plymouth) — 3 goals.
  18. O. Cooper (Notts County) — 3 goals.
  19. M. Hippolyte (AFC Wimbledon) — 3 goals.
  20. O. Irow (Plymouth) — 3 goals.

Other competitions

All 59 competitions we cover.