Huddersfield
vs
Leicester
League One prediction
Our model says: Huddersfield 2–1 Leicester
The model makes it 53% Huddersfield, 24% draw, 23% Leicester — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Huddersfield 2.09, Leicester 1.23.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to Huddersfield: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Huddersfield's rating is built from 60 League One matches and Leicester's from 13, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,272 matches.
Key facts
- Huddersfield are top on 29 points from 14 games; Leicester are 10th on 19 points from 13 games — League One.
- Huddersfield are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Luton.
- Leicester have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Stevenage.
- Last 6 meetings: Leicester 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 13 August 2025, ended Huddersfield 2–2 Leicester.
More League One predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Huddersfield vs Leicester
Has the model earned this number?
Huddersfield at 53%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Huddersfield vs Leicester
Huddersfield
League One
- D1-1Luton3 November 2026
- W3-0away to Bradford31 October 2026
- W2-1Wigan24 October 2026
- W4-1Peterborough20 October 2026
- W2-0away to Plymouth17 October 2026
Leicester
League One
- D2-2Stevenage31 October 2026
- W3-0Wigan27 October 2026
- L1-2away to Luton24 October 2026
- W4-0away to Bromley20 October 2026
- W2-1Doncaster17 October 2026
What these results say
- Huddersfield went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Leicester scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Leicester had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Huddersfield
Chance to finish in the top two · 50% today
From our League One season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Huddersfield vs Leicester
- 13 August 2025Huddersfield 2–2 LeicesterLeague Cup
- 1 January 2024Leicester 4–1 HuddersfieldChampionship
- 12 August 2023Huddersfield 0–1 LeicesterChampionship
- 6 April 2019Huddersfield 1–4 LeicesterPremier League
- 22 September 2018Leicester 3–1 HuddersfieldPremier League
- 1 January 2018Leicester 3–0 HuddersfieldPremier League
Leading scorers: Huddersfield and Leicester
Huddersfield
GoalsAssists
- J. Taylor102
- D. Sanches Fernandes76
Leicester
GoalsAssists
- E. Riis61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Huddersfield a 29.4% chance of the title and Leicester 1.3%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Huddersfield the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.09 expected goals for Huddersfield against 1.23 for Leicester. Huddersfield's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.53 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.9 for Leicester.
How the model reaches 53% for Huddersfield to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Huddersfield to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Huddersfield's ratings add 5 points and Leicester's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 53%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage42%+6
- Both sides at this match's level43%+1
- Huddersfield's ratings48%+5
- Leicester's ratings53%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Huddersfield at home · Leicester away
League matches only, League One, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All League One matches this season: Huddersfield 14, Leicester 13.
Huddersfield score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Leicester have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Huddersfield
- at Doncaster26 Nov · League Onewin 49%
- vs Stevenage1 Dec · League Onewin 50%
- vs Leyton Orient12 Dec · League Onewin 52%
- at Barnsley19 Dec · League Onewin 50%
Leicester
- at Blackpool24 Nov · League Onewin 38%
- vs Mansfield Town28 Nov · League Onewin 41%
- at Cambridge United1 Dec · League Onewin 35%
- vs Sheffield Wednesday10 Dec · League Onewin 40%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.