Doncaster
vs
Huddersfield
League One prediction
Our model says: Doncaster 1–2 Huddersfield
The model makes it 25% Doncaster, 26% draw, 49% Huddersfield — fair odds of 4.00, 3.85 and 2.04.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Doncaster 1.12, Huddersfield 1.81.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
One-sided: Huddersfield are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Doncaster's rating is built from 59 League One matches and Huddersfield's from 60, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,272 matches.
Key facts
- Doncaster are 20th on 12 points from 13 games; Huddersfield are top on 29 points from 14 games — League One.
- Doncaster have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-6 defeat away to Milton Keynes Dons.
- Huddersfield are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Luton.
- Last 5 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 1 draw; the most recent, 8 September 2026, ended Doncaster 1–3 Huddersfield.
More League One predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Doncaster vs Huddersfield
Has the model earned this number?
Huddersfield at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Doncaster vs Huddersfield
Doncaster
League One
- L1-6away to Milton Keynes Dons31 October 2026
- L1-3away to Luton27 October 2026
- W2-0Sheffield Wednesday24 October 2026
- L0-2Stockport County20 October 2026
- L1-2away to Leicester17 October 2026
Huddersfield
League One
- D1-1Luton3 November 2026
- W3-0away to Bradford31 October 2026
- W2-1Wigan24 October 2026
- W4-1Peterborough20 October 2026
- W2-0away to Plymouth17 October 2026
What these results say
- Doncaster failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Doncaster scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Doncaster conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Doncaster vs Huddersfield
- 8 September 2026Doncaster 1–3 HuddersfieldEFL Trophy
- 17 February 2026Doncaster 1–0 HuddersfieldLeague One
- 10 February 2026Huddersfield 1–1 DoncasterEFL Trophy
- 19 August 2025Huddersfield 2–0 DoncasterLeague One
- 3 September 2024Doncaster 2–1 HuddersfieldEFL Trophy
Leading scorers: Doncaster and Huddersfield
Doncaster
No player in League One's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Huddersfield
GoalsAssists
- J. Taylor102
- D. Sanches Fernandes76
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Doncaster a 0% chance of the title and Huddersfield 26.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Huddersfield the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.12 expected goals for Doncaster against 1.81 for Huddersfield. Doncaster's attack/defence rating is 0.48/2.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.53 for Huddersfield.
How the model reaches 49% for Huddersfield to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Huddersfield to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Doncaster's ratings add 9 points and Huddersfield's ratings add 9 points, which lands on the published 49%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Doncaster's ratings40%+9
- Huddersfield's ratings49%+9
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Doncaster at home · Huddersfield away
League matches only, League One, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All League One matches this season: Doncaster 13, Huddersfield 14.
Doncaster score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Huddersfield have let in 2 there.
Huddersfield score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Doncaster have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Doncaster
- at Reading1 Dec · League Onewin 19%
- vs Bromley12 Dec · League Onewin 54%
- vs Oxford United15 Dec · League Onewin 23%
Huddersfield
- vs Stevenage1 Dec · League Onewin 50%
- vs Leyton Orient12 Dec · League Onewin 52%
- at Barnsley19 Dec · League Onewin 50%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.