Polish I Liga predictions

15 matches ahead, from 9 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Warta Poznań, 54% against Unia Skierniewice. 2 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Friday 9 October — 1 match

18:30 UTC Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce — model 40% / 31% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.23 · 3.45.

Saturday 10 October — 3 matches

13:30 UTC Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa — model 48% / 27% / 25%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.70 · 4.00.
13:30 UTC Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — model 41% / 31% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.23 · 3.57.
13:30 UTC Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza — model 29% / 28% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.45 · 3.57 · 2.33.

Sunday 11 October — 4 matches

10:00 UTC Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań — model 33% / 26% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.85 · 2.44.
12:30 UTC ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów — model 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.45 · 3.70.
15:00 UTC Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom — model 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.57 · 3.45.
18:15 UTC Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica — model 34% / 33% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.94 · 3.03 · 3.03. Tight game · draw in reach

Monday 12 October — 1 match

16:00 UTC Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk — model 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 3.70 · 2.22.

Thursday 15 October — 1 match

16:30 UTC Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice — model 37% / 33% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.03 · 3.33.

Friday 16 October — 2 matches

16:00 UTC Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice — model 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.85 · 4.00 · 4.76.
18:30 UTC Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole — model 42% / 32% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.13 · 3.85.

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

13:30 UTC Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec — model 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.17.
13:30 UTC Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów — model 36% / 30% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.33 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
13:30 UTC Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33.