I Liga

1. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — 18 points from 9 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: D D W L W.
2. Nieciecza — 16 points from 9 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 14 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L D W W W.
3. Warta Poznań — 15 points from 9 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W L L W W.
4. ŁKS Łódź — 15 points from 9 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 13 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W D D W L.
5. Miedz Legnica — 14 points from 9 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 14 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: W W D L L.
6. Polonia Warszawa — 14 points from 9 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 15 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W L L D W.
7. Stal Rzeszów — 14 points from 9 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
8. Lechia Gdansk — 13 points from 9 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
9. Chrobry Głogów — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
10. Pogoń Siedlce — 12 points from 8 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 9 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W L W D W.
11. Ruch Chorzów — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 9 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W L W D D.
12. Arka Gdynia — 11 points from 9 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 11 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L D D L L.
13. Unia Skierniewice — 10 points from 9 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 10 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W L L W D.
14. Odra Opole — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D D D L L.
15. Polonia Bytom — 9 points from 9 played (1 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D D D D D.
16. Stal Mielec — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.
17. Podbeskidzie — 8 points from 9 played (0 won, 8 drawn, 1 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D D D.
18. Puszcza Niepołomice — 6 points from 8 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 6 lost), 8 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-02, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 9 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Odra Opole — bottom-three risk up 0.6, to 29.9%.
• Pogoń Siedlce — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 13.8%.
• Stal Mielec — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 49.4%.
• Stal Rzeszów — bottom-three risk up 0.2, to 24.9%.
• ŁKS Łódź — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 1.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 226 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-02, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Lechia Gdansk — projected to finish on 59.7 points, from 13 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 26.2%, finishes top four 68.1%, bottom three 0.7%.
2. Nieciecza — projected to finish on 59.2 points, from 16 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 22.5%, finishes top four 64.4%, bottom three 0.3%.
3. Warta Poznań — projected to finish on 57.4 points, from 15 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 17%, finishes top four 57.9%, bottom three 1%.
4. ŁKS Łódź — projected to finish on 54.3 points, from 15 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 9%, finishes top four 42.2%, bottom three 1.4%.
5. Arka Gdynia — projected to finish on 53.1 points, from 11 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.4%, finishes top four 38.1%, bottom three 1.9%.
6. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — projected to finish on 52.8 points, from 18 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.9%, finishes top four 34.9%, bottom three 1.7%.
7. Miedz Legnica — projected to finish on 49.4 points, from 14 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.7%, finishes top four 21.3%, bottom three 4.6%.
8. Polonia Warszawa — projected to finish on 48.2 points, from 14 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.1%, finishes top four 18.3%, bottom three 6.9%.
9. Chrobry Głogów — projected to finish on 47.5 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.7%, finishes top four 15.2%, bottom three 6.7%.
10. Ruch Chorzów — projected to finish on 47.4 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.2% (down 0.1), finishes top four 16.1%, bottom three 8.3%.
11. Pogoń Siedlce — projected to finish on 44.3 points, from 12 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4%, finishes top four 7%, bottom three 13.8%.
12. Stal Rzeszów — projected to finish on 41.2 points, from 14 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 3.1%, bottom three 24.9%.
13. Polonia Bytom — projected to finish on 40.3 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top four 3.6%, bottom three 29.3%.
14. Podbeskidzie — projected to finish on 40 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 3.1%, bottom three 29%.
15. Odra Opole — projected to finish on 39.4 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 2.5%, bottom three 29.9%.
16. Puszcza Niepołomice — projected to finish on 37.9 points, from 6 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 1.3%, bottom three 37.6%.
17. Stal Mielec — projected to finish on 36.2 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 1.9%, bottom three 49.4%.
18. Unia Skierniewice — projected to finish on 35.5 points, from 10 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 1%, bottom three 52.8%.