Jupiler Pro League predictions

9 matches ahead, from 9 October to 11 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Union St. Gilloise, 66% against OH Leuven. 2 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Friday 9 October — 1 match

18:45 UTC SK Beveren vs Lommel United — model 31% / 31% / 38%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.23 · 2.63.

Saturday 10 October — 4 matches

14:00 UTC Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht — model 39% / 27% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.70 · 2.94.
16:15 UTC RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV — model 16% / 22% / 62%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 6.25 · 4.55 · 1.61.
18:45 UTC Zulte Waregem vs Gent — model 35% / 30% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.86 · 3.33 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
18:45 UTC Genk vs Kortrijk — model 59% / 25% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.69 · 4.00 · 6.25.

Sunday 11 October — 4 matches

11:30 UTC Standard Liege vs Charleroi — model 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.45 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven — model 66% / 22% / 12%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.52 · 4.55 · 8.33.
16:30 UTC KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp — model 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.70 · 3.57.
17:15 UTC KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden — model 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.33 · 3.57 · 2.38.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

18–20 September: the model called the result of 6 of 9 matches.

Gent 2–1 Standard Liege — the model said 52% / 27% / 21%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
OH Leuven 2–0 RAAL La Louvière — the model said 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Charleroi 3–2 Cercle Brugge — the model said 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Anderlecht 3–0 Zulte Waregem — the model said 40% / 33% / 27%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Lommel United 0–0 KV Mechelen — the model said 40% / 31% / 29%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Antwerp 0–2 Union St. Gilloise — the model said 26% / 26% / 48%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
St. Truiden 0–2 KVC Westerlo — the model said 44% / 26% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Club Brugge KV 3–0 Genk — the model said 43% / 29% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Kortrijk 1–0 SK Beveren — the model said 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 1-2: result missed.