Zulte Waregem
vs
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: Zulte Waregem 2–1 Antwerp
The model makes it 42% Zulte Waregem, 27% draw, 31% Antwerp — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Zulte Waregem 1.63, Antwerp 1.33.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Zulte Waregem's rating is built from 47 Jupiler Pro League matches and Antwerp's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 735 matches.
Key facts
- Zulte Waregem are 14th on 11 points from 11 games; Antwerp are 13th on 11 points from 11 games — Jupiler Pro League.
- Zulte Waregem have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to St. Truiden.
- Antwerp have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Lommel United.
- Last 6 meetings: Antwerp 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 27 December 2025, ended Antwerp 2–1 Zulte Waregem.
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp
Has the model earned this number?
Zulte Waregem at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
- L1-4away to St. Truiden8 November 2026
- L2-4Club Brugge KV30 October 2026
- L0-3away to RAAL La Louvière24 October 2026
- L0-2Gent10 October 2026
- L0-3away to Anderlecht19 September 2026
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
- D2-2Lommel United7 November 2026
- L1-2away to Cercle Brugge1 November 2026
- W3-0Charleroi24 October 2026
- L1-5away to KVC Westerlo11 October 2026
- L0-2Union St. Gilloise20 September 2026
What these results say
- Zulte Waregem did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zulte Waregem conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Zulte Waregem had three goals or more.
- Antwerp failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Antwerp scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Antwerp conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Zulte Waregem
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 6% today
Antwerp
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 8% today
From our Jupiler Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Zulte Waregem vs Antwerp
- 27 December 2025Antwerp 2–1 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 27 September 2025Zulte Waregem 2–0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 31 March 2023Zulte Waregem 0–2 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 31 July 2022Antwerp 1–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 19 March 2022Antwerp 1–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 16 October 2021Zulte Waregem 2–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Zulte Waregem and Antwerp
Zulte Waregem
GoalsAssists
- T. Hedl42
- Á. Zalán40
Antwerp
GoalsAssists
- M. Frey40
- S. Porozo40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Antwerp (13th, with Zulte Waregem 14th), while our numbers lean to Zulte Waregem. Zulte Waregem rate 0.81 in attack and 1.24 in defence, Antwerp 0.83 and 1.22 (lower is better in defence): close enough that playing at home is what tips the call.
How the call on Zulte Waregem v Antwerp has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 42% / 27% / 31%: the biggest move is Zulte Waregem's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Zulte Waregem win42%▼ −2
- Draw27%=
- Antwerp win31%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Zulte Waregem the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.63 expected goals for Zulte Waregem against 1.33 for Antwerp. Zulte Waregem's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.24 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.83/1.22 for Antwerp.
How the model reaches 42% for Zulte Waregem to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Zulte Waregem to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, Zulte Waregem's ratings change nothing and Antwerp's ratings take away 1 point, which lands on the published 42%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Zulte Waregem's ratings43%±0
- Antwerp's ratings42%−1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Zulte Waregem at home · Antwerp away
League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Zulte WaregemAntwerp
Zulte Waregem are 14th after 11 Jupiler Pro League matches (between 1st and 14th so far); Antwerp are 13th after 11 (between 1st and 13th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: Zulte Waregem 11, Antwerp 11.
Zulte Waregem score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Antwerp have let in 7 there.
Antwerp score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Zulte Waregem have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Zulte Waregem
- at Lommel United28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 20%
- vs Standard Liege12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 37%
- at Cercle Brugge19 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 25%
- at KV Mechelen27 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 31%
- vs OH Leuven17 Jan · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 41%
Antwerp
- vs Anderlecht29 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 34%
- at RAAL La Louvière12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 37%
- vs OH Leuven18 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 42%
- at Gent27 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 17%
- vs KV Mechelen16 Jan · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 45%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.