Cercle Brugge
vs
KVC Westerlo
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: Cercle Brugge 2–1 KVC Westerlo
The model makes it 52% Cercle Brugge, 21% draw, 27% KVC Westerlo — fair odds of 1.92, 4.76 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Cercle Brugge 2.52, KVC Westerlo 1.70.
Both teams to score: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%, under 2.5: 21%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Cercle Brugge's rating is built from 47 Jupiler Pro League matches and KVC Westerlo's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 735 matches.
Key facts
- Cercle Brugge are 16th on 9 points from 11 games; KVC Westerlo are 9th on 14 points from 11 games — Jupiler Pro League.
- Cercle Brugge have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to RAAL La Louvière.
- KVC Westerlo are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-5 defeat at home to Charleroi.
- Last 6 meetings: Cercle Brugge 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 17 January 2026, ended KVC Westerlo 0–2 Cercle Brugge.
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Cercle Brugge vs KVC Westerlo
Has the model earned this number?
Cercle Brugge at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Cercle Brugge vs KVC Westerlo
Cercle Brugge
Jupiler Pro League
- W1-0away to RAAL La Louvière7 November 2026
- W2-1Antwerp1 November 2026
- L2-5away to Union St. Gilloise25 October 2026
- L1-2Anderlecht10 October 2026
- L2-3away to Charleroi19 September 2026
KVC Westerlo
Jupiler Pro League
- L1-5Charleroi7 November 2026
- L1-4away to Anderlecht31 October 2026
- D4-4SK Beveren24 October 2026
- W5-1Antwerp11 October 2026
- W2-0away to St. Truiden20 September 2026
What these results say
- Cercle Brugge scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Cercle Brugge conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Cercle Brugge had three goals or more.
- KVC Westerlo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- KVC Westerlo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for KVC Westerlo had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Cercle Brugge vs KVC Westerlo
- 17 January 2026KVC Westerlo 0–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 17 August 2025Cercle Brugge 4–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 16 February 2025Cercle Brugge 1–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 28 July 2024KVC Westerlo 3–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 30 January 2024KVC Westerlo 4–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 2 September 2023Cercle Brugge 2–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Cercle Brugge and KVC Westerlo
Cercle Brugge
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
KVC Westerlo
GoalsAssists
- N. Bassette80
- S. Saito51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour KVC Westerlo (9th, with Cercle Brugge 16th), while our numbers lean to Cercle Brugge. Cercle Brugge rate 1.02 in attack and 1.23 in defence, KVC Westerlo 1.07 and 1.50 (lower is better in defence), so Cercle Brugge have been the better side in defence on recent expected goals, which the 5-point gap in the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.
How the call on Cercle Brugge v KVC Westerlo has moved
First published on 6 Nov at 47% / 22% / 31% (home / draw / away). After 4 updates it reads 52% / 21% / 27%: the biggest move is Cercle Brugge's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Cercle Brugge win52%▲ +5
- Draw21%▼ −1
- KVC Westerlo win27%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Cercle Brugge the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.52 expected goals for Cercle Brugge against 1.70 for KVC Westerlo. Cercle Brugge's attack/defence rating is 1.02/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.07/1.5 for KVC Westerlo.
How the model reaches 52% for Cercle Brugge to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Cercle Brugge to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides adds 4 points, Cercle Brugge's ratings add 1 point and KVC Westerlo's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 52%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Both sides at this match's level47%+4
- Cercle Brugge's ratings48%+1
- KVC Westerlo's ratings52%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Cercle Brugge at home · KVC Westerlo away
League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Cercle BruggeKVC Westerlo
Cercle Brugge are 16th after 11 Jupiler Pro League matches (between 2nd and 17th so far); KVC Westerlo are 9th after 11 (between 6th and 18th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: Cercle Brugge 11, KVC Westerlo 11.
Cercle Brugge score most often in the 16–30 minute window (4 goals); KVC Westerlo have let in 4 there.
KVC Westerlo score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Cercle Brugge have let in 8 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Cercle Brugge
- vs KV Mechelen28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 52%
- at SK Beveren12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 44%
- vs Zulte Waregem19 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 51%
- at Kortrijk26 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 52%
- vs Genk17 Jan · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 40%
KVC Westerlo
- vs RAAL La Louvière28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 55%
- at Club Brugge KV13 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 9%
- vs Gent20 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 28%
- at OH Leuven26 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 32%
- vs Kortrijk16 Jan · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 64%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.