KVC Westerlo
vs
RAAL La Louvière
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: KVC Westerlo 2–1 RAAL La Louvière
The model makes it 55% KVC Westerlo, 22% draw, 23% RAAL La Louvière — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: KVC Westerlo 2.41, RAAL La Louvière 1.42.
Both teams to score: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 74%, under 2.5: 26%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
Edge to KVC Westerlo: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. KVC Westerlo's rating is built from 51 Jupiler Pro League matches and RAAL La Louvière's from 47, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 735 matches.
Key facts
- KVC Westerlo are 9th on 14 points from 11 games; RAAL La Louvière are 17th on 7 points from 11 games — Jupiler Pro League.
- KVC Westerlo are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-5 defeat at home to Charleroi.
- RAAL La Louvière have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Cercle Brugge.
- Last 2 meetings: KVC Westerlo 1 win to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 20 December 2025, ended KVC Westerlo 2–1 RAAL La Louvière.
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: KVC Westerlo vs RAAL La Louvière
Has the model earned this number?
KVC Westerlo at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into KVC Westerlo vs RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
Jupiler Pro League
- L1-5Charleroi7 November 2026
- L1-4away to Anderlecht31 October 2026
- D4-4SK Beveren24 October 2026
- W5-1Antwerp11 October 2026
- W2-0away to St. Truiden20 September 2026
RAAL La Louvière
Jupiler Pro League
- L0-1Cercle Brugge7 November 2026
- L2-5away to Charleroi1 November 2026
- W3-0Zulte Waregem24 October 2026
- L1-4Club Brugge KV10 October 2026
- L0-2away to OH Leuven19 September 2026
What these results say
- KVC Westerlo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- KVC Westerlo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for KVC Westerlo had three goals or more.
- RAAL La Louvière failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- RAAL La Louvière conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | RAAL La Louvière | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
KVC Westerlo
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 3% today
RAAL La Louvière
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 51% today
From our Jupiler Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: KVC Westerlo vs RAAL La Louvière
- 20 December 2025KVC Westerlo 2–1 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 18 October 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: KVC Westerlo and RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
GoalsAssists
- N. Bassette80
- S. Saito51
RAAL La Louvière
GoalsAssists
- M. Ubandoma60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives KVC Westerlo the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.41 expected goals for KVC Westerlo against 1.42 for RAAL La Louvière. KVC Westerlo's attack/defence rating is 1.07/1.5 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.37 for RAAL La Louvière.
How the model reaches 55% for KVC Westerlo to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for KVC Westerlo to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides adds 2 points, KVC Westerlo's ratings add 6 points and RAAL La Louvière's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 55%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Both sides at this match's level45%+2
- KVC Westerlo's ratings51%+6
- RAAL La Louvière's ratings55%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
KVC Westerlo at home · RAAL La Louvière away
League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
KVC WesterloRAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo are 9th after 11 Jupiler Pro League matches (between 6th and 18th so far); RAAL La Louvière are 17th after 11 (between 14th and 17th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: KVC Westerlo 11, RAAL La Louvière 11.
KVC Westerlo score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); RAAL La Louvière have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
KVC Westerlo
- at Club Brugge KV13 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 9%
- vs Gent20 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 28%
- at OH Leuven26 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 32%
- vs Kortrijk16 Jan · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 64%
RAAL La Louvière
- vs Antwerp12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 37%
- at Lommel United19 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 17%
- vs SK Beveren26 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 44%
- at Union St. Gilloise16 Jan · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 8%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.