Club Brugge KV
vs
Anderlecht
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: Club Brugge KV 2–0 Anderlecht
The model makes it 67% Club Brugge KV, 20% draw, 13% Anderlecht — fair odds of 1.49, 5.00 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Club Brugge KV 2.43, Anderlecht 0.83.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,566 settled matches.
One-sided: Club Brugge KV are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. Club Brugge KV's rating is built from 48 Jupiler Pro League matches and Anderlecht's from 48, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 712 matches.
Key facts
- Club Brugge KV are 2nd on 21 points from 8 games; Anderlecht are 5th on 16 points from 8 games — Jupiler Pro League.
- Club Brugge KV are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 4-1 win away to RAAL La Louvière.
- Anderlecht are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-1 win away to Cercle Brugge.
- Last 6 meetings: Club Brugge KV 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 3 May 2026, ended Anderlecht 1–3 Club Brugge KV.
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Brugge KV at 67% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 378 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
Jupiler Pro League
- W4-1away to RAAL La Louvière10 October 2026
- W3-0Genk20 September 2026
- W3-1Antwerp13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lommel United4 September 2026
- L1-2away to Gent30 August 2026
Anderlecht
Jupiler Pro League
- W2-1away to Cercle Brugge10 October 2026
- W3-0Zulte Waregem19 September 2026
- W1-0away to KV Mechelen11 September 2026
- D0-0Genk6 September 2026
- W1-0Kortrijk3 September 2026
What these results say
- Club Brugge KV scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Club Brugge KV won 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Club Brugge KV had three goals or more.
- Anderlecht went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Anderlecht won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Anderlecht scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 21 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
- 3 May 2026Anderlecht 1–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 6 April 2026Club Brugge KV 4–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 8 March 2026Club Brugge KV 2–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 9 November 2025Anderlecht 1–0 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 18 May 2025Anderlecht 1–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 4 May 2025Club Brugge KV 2–1 AnderlechtCup
Leading scorers: Club Brugge KV and Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
GoalsAssists
- H. Vetlesen40
- N. Tresoldi40
Anderlecht
GoalsAssists
- T. Bentayeb31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Club Brugge KV carry a model rating of 7.24 against 6.83 for Anderlecht. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.43 goals for Club Brugge KV and 0.83 for Anderlecht. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Club Brugge KV rate 1.54 in attack and 0.70 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Anderlecht rate 0.92 and 0.97.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Club Brugge KV a 62.3% chance of the title and Anderlecht 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Club Brugge KV the highest probability at 67%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.43 expected goals for Club Brugge KV against 0.83 for Anderlecht. Club Brugge KV's attack/defence rating is 1.54/0.7 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.92/0.97 for Anderlecht.
How the model reaches 67% for Club Brugge KV to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Club Brugge KV to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, Club Brugge KV's ratings add 23 points and Anderlecht's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 67%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Club Brugge KV's ratings66%+23
- Anderlecht's ratings67%+1
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Club Brugge KV at home · Anderlecht away
League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Club Brugge KVAnderlecht
Club Brugge KV are 2nd after 8 Jupiler Pro League matches (between 1st and 3rd so far); Anderlecht are 5th after 8 (between 5th and 11th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: Club Brugge KV 8, Anderlecht 8.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Club Brugge KV
- at KV Mechelen21 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 68%
- vs Liverpool25 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 59%
Anderlecht
- vs OH Leuven22 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 53%
- at OFI26 Nov · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 43%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.