Russian Premier League predictions

Friday 9 October — 1 match

• 16:30 UTC FC Rostov vs Akron — model 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.57 · 3.33.

Saturday 10 October — 4 matches

• 10:00 UTC FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala — model 37% / 31% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.23 · 3.13.
• 12:15 UTC Fakel vs Lokomotiv — model 32% / 31% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.23 · 2.70.
• 14:30 UTC Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow — model 31% / 28% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.57 · 2.44.
• 16:30 UTC FC Krasnodar vs Zenit — model 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.33 · 3.03.

Sunday 11 October — 3 matches

• 11:00 UTC Akhmat vs Baltika — model 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.45 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 13:30 UTC CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva — model 57% / 24% / 19%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.75 · 4.17 · 5.26.
• 16:30 UTC Rubin vs Dynamo — model 33% / 30% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.33 · 2.70.

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

• 11:00 UTC Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel — model 45% / 29% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.45 · 3.85.
• 13:30 UTC Dinamo Makhachkala vs Akron — model 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.70 · 3.70.
• 16:30 UTC Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar — model 30% / 30% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.33 · 2.50.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

16–17 September: the model called the result of 3 of 8 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin — the model said 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Spartak Moscow 1–0 Fakel — the model said 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Baltika 2–3 Zenit — the model said 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Lokomotiv 1–1 Krylia Sovetov — the model said 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• FC Orenburg 0–0 FC Krasnodar — the model said 35% / 31% / 34%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Akron 2–0 Akhmat — the model said 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• FC Rostov 0–3 Dynamo — the model said 28% / 28% / 44%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
• Dinamo Makhachkala 1–3 CSKA Moscow — the model said 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result missed.