Krylia Sovetov
vs
Dynamo
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Krylia Sovetov 1–2 Dynamo
The model makes it 29% Krylia Sovetov, 26% draw, 45% Dynamo — fair odds of 3.45, 3.85 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Krylia Sovetov 1.31, Dynamo 1.76.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to Dynamo: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Krylia Sovetov's rating is built from 44 Russian Premier League matches and Dynamo's from 44, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 600 matches.
Key facts
- Krylia Sovetov are 7th on 18 points from 14 games; Dynamo are 2nd on 31 points from 14 games — Premier League.
- Krylia Sovetov have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to FC Orenburg.
- Dynamo have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Fakel.
- Last 5 meetings: Dynamo 3 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 25 July 2026, ended Dynamo 0–0 Krylia Sovetov.
More Russian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Krylia Sovetov vs Dynamo
Has the model earned this number?
Dynamo at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Krylia Sovetov vs Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
Premier League
- W2-0FC Orenburg8 November 2026
- L0-3Zenit2 November 2026
- W2-0away to Rubin24 October 2026
- L1-2Fakel17 October 2026
- D1-1Spartak Moscow10 October 2026
Dynamo
Premier League
- W2-1away to Fakel7 November 2026
- W2-0Akhmat31 October 2026
- L1-3away to Akron24 October 2026
- W3-1CSKA Moscow18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Rubin11 October 2026
What these results say
- Krylia Sovetov scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dynamo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dynamo won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
| 2 | Dynamo | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Krylia Sovetov vs Dynamo
- 25 July 2026Dynamo 0–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- 1 March 2026Dynamo 4–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- 22 October 2025Dynamo 4–0 Krylia SovetovCup
- 26 September 2025Krylia Sovetov 2–3 DynamoPremier League
- 27 August 2025Krylia Sovetov 0–0 DynamoCup
Leading scorers: Krylia Sovetov and Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
GoalsAssists
- A. Rahmanović50
Dynamo
GoalsAssists
- K. Tyukavin71
- V. Okishor32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Krylia Sovetov a 0% chance of the title and Dynamo 28.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dynamo the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.31 expected goals for Krylia Sovetov against 1.76 for Dynamo. Krylia Sovetov's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.98 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.52 for Dynamo.
How the model reaches 45% for Dynamo to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Dynamo to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Krylia Sovetov's ratings add 7 points and Dynamo's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 45%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Krylia Sovetov's ratings38%+7
- Dynamo's ratings45%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Krylia Sovetov at home · Dynamo away
League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Krylia Sovetov 14, Dynamo 14.
Krylia Sovetov score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Dynamo have let in 2 there.
Dynamo score most often in the 76–90 minute window (10 goals); Krylia Sovetov have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Krylia Sovetov
- at Dinamo Makhachkala4 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 38%
- vs Lokomotiv27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 43%
- at FC Krasnodar6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 21%
- at FC Orenburg13 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 31%
Dynamo
- at Spartak Moscow6 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 30%
- vs Rubin27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 56%
- at Rodina Moskva6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 55%
- vs Lokomotiv13 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 58%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.