Premier League (Russia)

1. Zenit — 27 points from 12 played (9 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost), 27 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +14. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Dynamo — 25 points from 12 played (8 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 19 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
3. CSKA Moscow — 25 points from 12 played (7 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 21 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: D W W L W.
4. FC Krasnodar — 23 points from 12 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 20 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: D D L D D.
5. Spartak Moscow — 23 points from 12 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 21 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W D W L.
6. FC Orenburg — 16 points from 12 played (3 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L D W D W.
7. FC Rostov — 15 points from 12 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 13 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L W D W.
8. Krylia Sovetov — 15 points from 12 played (3 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W D D L W.
9. Baltika — 14 points from 12 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost), 15 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D L D D D.
10. Dinamo Makhachkala — 13 points from 12 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost), 16 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L L D L.
11. Rubin — 12 points from 12 played (2 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D D L L L.
12. Akron — 12 points from 12 played (2 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost), 15 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D W L D W.
13. Lokomotiv — 11 points from 12 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 16 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L D W D L.
14. Akhmat — 11 points from 12 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 15 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W L D L L.
15. Rodina Moskva — 9 points from 12 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 7 lost), 13 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: L D L D W.
16. Fakel — 6 points from 12 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 8 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: D L L W L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-28, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 10 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Lokomotiv — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 0%; bottom-three risk up 0.5, to 7.7%.
• Rodina Moskva — bottom-three risk down 0.3, to 75.7%.
• Akron — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 27.9%.
• CSKA Moscow — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 6.4%.
• Dinamo Makhachkala — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 28.8%.

Season projection

Every one of the 144 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-28, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Zenit — projected to finish on 62.8 points, from 27 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 52.7%, finishes top four 96.6%, bottom four 0%.
2. Dynamo — projected to finish on 58.8 points, from 25 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 23% (down 0.1), finishes top four 87.5%, bottom four 0%.
3. Spartak Moscow — projected to finish on 54.4 points, from 23 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 9.4% (up 0.1), finishes top four 69.6%, bottom four 0%.
4. FC Krasnodar — projected to finish on 54.1 points, from 23 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.3%, finishes top four 65.9%, bottom four 0%.
5. CSKA Moscow — projected to finish on 53 points, from 25 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.4% (up 0.1), finishes top four 59.1%, bottom four 0.1%.
6. Baltika — projected to finish on 42.2 points, from 14 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 8.1%, bottom four 4.6%.
7. FC Orenburg — projected to finish on 39.7 points, from 16 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 4.5%, bottom four 9.1%.
8. Krylia Sovetov — projected to finish on 38.5 points, from 15 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.5%, bottom four 13.6%.
9. Lokomotiv — projected to finish on 38.1 points, from 11 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 3.1%, bottom four 14.4%.
10. FC Rostov — projected to finish on 37.1 points, from 15 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.7%, bottom four 18.8%.
11. Akhmat — projected to finish on 33.8 points, from 11 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom four 33.2%.
12. Rubin — projected to finish on 33.2 points, from 12 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom four 38.3%.
13. Akron — projected to finish on 32.7 points, from 12 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom four 43.2%.
14. Dinamo Makhachkala — projected to finish on 32.6 points, from 13 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.4%, bottom four 43.7%.
15. Rodina Moskva — projected to finish on 25.1 points, from 9 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 85.3%.
16. Fakel — projected to finish on 20.3 points, from 6 after 12 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 95.8%.

Top scorers

1. M. Glushenkov (Zenit) — 10 goals, 2 assists.
2. A. Sobolev (Zenit) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
3. I. Oblyakov (CSKA Moscow) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
4. G. Agalarov (Dinamo Makhachkala) — 5 goals.
5. M. Ugalde (Spartak Moscow) — 5 goals.
6. M. Daku (Spartak Moscow) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
7. K. Tyukavin (Dynamo) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
8. Batxi (FC Krasnodar) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
9. Gilson Benchimol (Akron) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
10. J. Córdoba (FC Krasnodar) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
11. A. Rahmanović (Krylia Sovetov) — 4 goals.
12. B. Gil (Baltika) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
13. J. Thompson (FC Orenburg) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
14. I. Oleynikov (CSKA Moscow) — 3 goals, 4 assists.
15. L. Sadulaev (Akhmat) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
16. V. Okishor (Dynamo) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
17. A. Maksimenko (Rodina Moskva) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
18. N. Titkov (Lokomotiv) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
19. A. Arroyo (Rubin) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
20. M. Kramarič (Krylia Sovetov) — 3 goals, 1 assist.