Fixtures & Predictions

Eliteserien predictions

11 matches ahead, from 9 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Bodo/Glimt, 69% against Kristiansund BK. 3 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC

Friday 9 October — 1 match

  • 17:00 UTC Brann vs Viking — model 31% / 27% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.70 · 2.38.

Saturday 10 October — 2 matches

Sunday 11 October — 4 matches

  • 12:30 UTC Fredrikstad vs Tromso — model 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.86 · 3.45 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 15:00 UTC Start vs Ham-Kam — model 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.57 · 3.03.
  • 15:00 UTC Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF — model 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.57 · 3.03.
  • 17:15 UTC Lillestrom vs Molde — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach

Monday 12 October — 1 match

  • 17:00 UTC KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga — model 41% / 27% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.70 · 3.13.

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

  • 12:00 UTC Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt — model 20% / 24% / 56%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 5.00 · 4.17 · 1.79.
  • 14:00 UTC Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund — model 36% / 27% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.78 · 3.70 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 16:00 UTC Viking vs Fredrikstad — model 57% / 25% / 18%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.75 · 4.00 · 5.56.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

18–20 September: the model called the result of 3 of 8 matches.

Eliteserien table · Accuracy by competition · Head-to-head records · All competitions