KFUM Oslo
vs
Brann
Eliteserien prediction
Our model says: KFUM Oslo 1–2 Brann
The model makes it 34% KFUM Oslo, 26% draw, 40% Brann — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: KFUM Oslo 1.42, Brann 1.60.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Brann: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. KFUM Oslo's rating is built from 56 Eliteserien matches and Brann's from 56, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 691 matches.
Key facts
- KFUM Oslo are 10th on 31 points from 26 games; Brann are 7th on 33 points from 26 games — Eliteserien.
- KFUM Oslo are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-5 defeat away to Viking.
- Brann have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Fredrikstad.
- Last 6 meetings: Brann 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 16 May 2026, ended Brann 2–1 KFUM Oslo.
More Eliteserien predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: KFUM Oslo vs Brann
Has the model earned this number?
Brann at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into KFUM Oslo vs Brann
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien
- L1-5away to Viking8 November 2026
- D2-2Ham-Kam1 November 2026
- D2-2away to Kristiansund BK25 October 2026
- D1-1away to Tromso18 October 2026
- W2-1Valerenga12 October 2026
Brann
Eliteserien
- D2-2away to Fredrikstad8 November 2026
- W3-2Molde1 November 2026
- L2-3away to Lillestrom25 October 2026
- L1-3away to Valerenga18 October 2026
- L0-2Viking9 October 2026
What these results say
- KFUM Oslo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- KFUM Oslo conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for KFUM Oslo.
- Brann conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brann failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brann scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 31 |
| 7 | Brann | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
KFUM Oslo
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 5% today
From our Eliteserien season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: KFUM Oslo vs Brann
- 16 May 2026Brann 2–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 9 November 2025Brann 1–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 19 July 2025KFUM Oslo 2–0 BrannEliteserien
- 18 September 2024Brann 2–0 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 28 April 2024KFUM Oslo 0–0 BrannEliteserien
- 29 October 2022Brann 4–1 KFUM Oslo1. Division
Leading scorers: KFUM Oslo and Brann
KFUM Oslo
GoalsAssists
- B. Njie83
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm83
- K. Ingason83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brann the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.42 expected goals for KFUM Oslo against 1.60 for Brann. KFUM Oslo's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.82/1.26 for Brann.
How the model reaches 40% for Brann to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Brann to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, KFUM Oslo's ratings add 4 points and Brann's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage31%−6
- KFUM Oslo's ratings35%+4
- Brann's ratings40%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
KFUM Oslo at home · Brann away
League matches only, Eliteserien, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Eliteserien matches this season: KFUM Oslo 26, Brann 26.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
KFUM Oslo
- at Bodo/Glimt28 Nov · Eliteserienwin 11%
- vs Fredrikstad6 Dec · Eliteserienwin 42%
- at Rosenborg13 Dec · Eliteserienwin 14%
Brann
- vs Aarhus26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 44%
- vs Kristiansund BK29 Nov · Eliteserienwin 59%
- at Sarpsborg 08 FF6 Dec · Eliteserienwin 41%
- vs SC Braga10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 29%
- vs Aalesund13 Dec · Eliteserienwin 56%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.