Eliteserien

1. Viking — 59 points from 24 played (19 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 62 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference +39. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Bodo/Glimt — 56 points from 24 played (18 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 58 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +37. Form, oldest first: W L W W L.
3. Molde — 43 points from 24 played (13 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 57 scored, 36 conceded, goal difference +21. Form, oldest first: W L D W W.
4. Rosenborg — 40 points from 24 played (12 won, 4 drawn, 8 lost), 46 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
5. Tromso — 40 points from 24 played (11 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost), 43 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
6. Lillestrom — 39 points from 24 played (12 won, 3 drawn, 9 lost), 35 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W L D W W.
7. Sarpsborg 08 FF — 31 points from 24 played (8 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost), 30 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: D L W L W.
8. KFUM Oslo — 30 points from 24 played (8 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost), 30 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: W W W D D.
9. Brann — 29 points from 24 played (9 won, 2 drawn, 13 lost), 42 scored, 40 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W L L L.
10. Valerenga — 29 points from 24 played (8 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost), 39 scored, 46 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L D L W W.
11. Fredrikstad — 29 points from 24 played (8 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost), 29 scored, 41 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: D D D L L.
12. Ham-Kam — 26 points from 24 played (7 won, 5 drawn, 12 lost), 33 scored, 51 conceded, goal difference -18. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
13. Sandefjord — 24 points from 24 played (6 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost), 22 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L W D L L.
14. Aalesund — 24 points from 24 played (5 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost), 40 scored, 53 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
15. Kristiansund BK — 20 points from 24 played (5 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost), 25 scored, 49 conceded, goal difference -24. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
16. Start — 19 points from 24 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 15 lost), 26 scored, 54 conceded, goal difference -28. Form, oldest first: W L L L W.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped.

• Aalesund — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 48.8%.
• Brann — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 0.6%.
• Kristiansund BK — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 92.1%.
• Start — bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 97%.

Season projection

Every one of the 48 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Viking — projected to finish on 70.8 points, from 59 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 70.7%, finishes top two 100%, bottom three 0%.
2. Bodo/Glimt — projected to finish on 67.8 points, from 56 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 29.3%, finishes top two 100%, bottom three 0%.
3. Rosenborg — projected to finish on 51.7 points, from 40 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0%.
4. Molde — projected to finish on 51.2 points, from 43 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0%.
5. Lillestrom — projected to finish on 48.9 points, from 39 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0%.
6. Tromso — projected to finish on 48.3 points, from 40 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0%.
7. Sarpsborg 08 FF — projected to finish on 39.3 points, from 31 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0.2%.
8. Brann — projected to finish on 38.7 points, from 29 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 0.6%.
9. Valerenga — projected to finish on 37.1 points, from 29 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 1.7%.
10. KFUM Oslo — projected to finish on 36.5 points, from 30 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 1.9%.
11. Fredrikstad — projected to finish on 36.3 points, from 29 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 4.8%.
12. Ham-Kam — projected to finish on 32.4 points, from 26 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 26.5%.
13. Sandefjord — projected to finish on 32.2 points, from 24 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 26.6%.
14. Aalesund — projected to finish on 30.4 points, from 24 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 48.8%.
15. Kristiansund BK — projected to finish on 25.9 points, from 20 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 92.1%.
16. Start — projected to finish on 24.6 points, from 19 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom three 97%.

Top scorers

1. P. Christiansen (Viking) — 15 goals, 7 assists.
2. Amin Chiakha (Rosenborg) — 15 goals, 4 assists.
3. A. Helmersen (Bodo/Glimt) — 12 goals, 1 assist.
4. L. Alvheim (Kristiansund BK) — 12 goals.
5. K. Lonebu (Molde) — 12 goals, 2 assists.
6. L. Haren (Valerenga) — 11 goals, 2 assists.
7. E. Breivik (Molde) — 10 goals, 10 assists.
8. H. Larsen (Tromso) — 10 goals, 4 assists.
9. M. Christensen (Aalesund) — 10 goals, 4 assists.
10. S. Kvia-Egeskog (Viking) — 9 goals, 3 assists.
11. Vá (Lillestrom) — 8 goals, 5 assists.
12. E. Hestad (Molde) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
13. N. Holm (Brann) — 7 goals, 3 assists.
14. H. Heggheim (Viking) — 7 goals, 3 assists.
15. J. Hjertø-Dahl (Tromso) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
16. K. Høgh (Bodo/Glimt) — 7 goals, 4 assists.
17. F. Gulbrandsen (Lillestrom) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
18. B. Njie (KFUM Oslo) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
19. D. Karlsbakk (Sarpsborg 08 FF) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
20. E. Ceïde (Rosenborg) — 6 goals, 6 assists.