Eliteserien

1. Bodo/Glimt — 50 points from 20 played (16 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 52 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +35. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Viking — 47 points from 20 played (15 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 51 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +31. Form, oldest first: W L W D W.
3. Molde — 36 points from 20 played (11 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 43 scored, 30 conceded, goal difference +13. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
4. Tromso — 35 points from 20 played (10 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 37 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W L D L L.
5. Lillestrom — 32 points from 20 played (10 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 28 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L D L W W.
6. Rosenborg — 30 points from 20 played (9 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 36 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
7. Fredrikstad — 27 points from 20 played (8 won, 3 drawn, 9 lost), 24 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: W W W L D.
8. Brann — 26 points from 20 played (8 won, 2 drawn, 10 lost), 37 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W D L L.
9. Sarpsborg 08 FF — 25 points from 20 played (6 won, 7 drawn, 7 lost), 23 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L D D D.
10. Ham-Kam — 23 points from 20 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 9 lost), 27 scored, 41 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: D L D L L.
11. Valerenga — 22 points from 20 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 10 lost), 33 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L D L D L.
12. KFUM Oslo — 22 points from 20 played (6 won, 4 drawn, 10 lost), 22 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: W D L L W.
13. Sandefjord — 20 points from 20 played (5 won, 5 drawn, 10 lost), 18 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
14. Kristiansund BK — 19 points from 20 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 11 lost), 20 scored, 37 conceded, goal difference -17. Form, oldest first: W L D W L.
15. Aalesund — 18 points from 20 played (3 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost), 31 scored, 45 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: D D L W L.
16. Start — 16 points from 20 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 12 lost), 22 scored, 41 conceded, goal difference -19. Form, oldest first: L L W L W.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 12 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Bodo/Glimt — chance of finishing top up 3.2, to 73.7%.
• Viking — chance of finishing top down 3.2, to 26.3%.
• KFUM Oslo — bottom-three risk down 2.5, to 32.3%.
• Start — bottom-three risk up 1.6, to 76.2%.
• Ham-Kam — bottom-three risk down 1.4, to 20.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 80 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Bodo/Glimt — projected to finish on 68.3 points, from 50 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 73.7% (up 3.2), finishes top four 100%, bottom three 0%.
2. Viking — projected to finish on 64.5 points, from 47 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 26.3% (down 3.2), finishes top four 100%, bottom three 0%.
3. Molde — projected to finish on 50.2 points, from 36 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 70.9%, bottom three 0%.
4. Tromso — projected to finish on 49.7 points, from 35 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 65.5%, bottom three 0%.
5. Rosenborg — projected to finish on 46.2 points, from 30 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 30.8%, bottom three 0%.
6. Lillestrom — projected to finish on 45.9 points, from 32 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 24.7%, bottom three 0%.
7. Brann — projected to finish on 40.7 points, from 26 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 4%, bottom three 0.8%.
8. Fredrikstad — projected to finish on 39.7 points, from 27 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.2%, bottom three 2%.
9. Sarpsborg 08 FF — projected to finish on 39.4 points, from 25 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.8%, bottom three 2.3%.
10. Ham-Kam — projected to finish on 34.8 points, from 23 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 20.4%.
11. Valerenga — projected to finish on 34 points, from 22 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 24.6%.
12. Sandefjord — projected to finish on 33.8 points, from 20 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 24.9%.
13. KFUM Oslo — projected to finish on 33.1 points, from 22 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 32.3%.
14. Kristiansund BK — projected to finish on 31.9 points, from 19 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 44.8%.
15. Aalesund — projected to finish on 28.9 points, from 18 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 71.7%.
16. Start — projected to finish on 28.4 points, from 16 after 20 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 76.2%.

Top scorers

1. Amin Chiakha (Rosenborg) — 12 goals, 3 assists.
2. P. Christiansen (Viking) — 10 goals, 6 assists.
3. L. Alvheim (Kristiansund BK) — 10 goals.
4. H. Larsen (Tromso) — 9 goals, 3 assists.
5. S. Kvia-Egeskog (Viking) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
6. L. Haren (Valerenga) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
7. A. Helmersen (Bodo/Glimt) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
8. E. Hestad (Molde) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
9. E. Breivik (Molde) — 7 goals, 7 assists.
10. J. Hjertø-Dahl (Tromso) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
11. K. Høgh (Bodo/Glimt) — 7 goals, 4 assists.
12. M. Christensen (Aalesund) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
13. N. Holm (Brann) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
14. C. Lange (Valerenga) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
15. Trent Toure Kone Doherty (Molde) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
16. M. Alassane Niang (Ham-Kam) — 6 goals.
17. D. Karlsbakk (Sarpsborg 08 FF) — 6 goals.
18. Z. Tripić (Viking) — 6 goals, 18 assists.
19. Vá (Lillestrom) — 5 goals, 5 assists.
20. E. Ceïde (Rosenborg) — 5 goals, 5 assists.