Viking
vs
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien prediction
Our model says: Viking 2–0 KFUM Oslo
The model makes it 67% Viking, 20% draw, 13% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 1.49, 5.00 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Viking 2.46, KFUM Oslo 0.83.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,566 settled matches.
One-sided: Viking are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. Viking's rating is built from 53 Eliteserien matches and KFUM Oslo's from 53, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 669 matches.
Key facts
- Viking are top on 56 points from 23 games; KFUM Oslo are 10th on 29 points from 23 games — Eliteserien.
- Viking are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-2 win at home to Fredrikstad.
- KFUM Oslo are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Tromso.
- Last 6 meetings: Viking 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 10 May 2026, ended KFUM Oslo 0–2 Viking.
More Eliteserien predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Viking vs KFUM Oslo
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Viking at 67% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 378 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Viking vs KFUM Oslo
Viking
Eliteserien
- W3-2Fredrikstad17 October 2026
- W2-0away to Brann9 October 2026
- W3-0Lillestrom20 September 2026
- W8-1Kristiansund BK13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Sandefjord4 September 2026
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien
- D1-1away to Tromso18 October 2026
- W2-1Valerenga12 October 2026
- W3-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF18 September 2026
- W2-1Aalesund13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Molde6 September 2026
What these results say
- Viking went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Viking scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Viking won 4 of these 5 matches.
- KFUM Oslo conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- KFUM Oslo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for KFUM Oslo.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59 | 22 | +37 | 56 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Viking vs KFUM Oslo
- 10 May 2026KFUM Oslo 0–2 VikingEliteserien
- 14 September 2025KFUM Oslo 2–2 VikingEliteserien
- 6 April 2025Viking 3–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 14 September 2024Viking 1–0 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 7 July 2024KFUM Oslo 1–2 VikingEliteserien
- 16 February 2024Viking 1–2 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Viking and KFUM Oslo
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen147
- S. Kvia-Egeskog93
- H. Heggheim63
KFUM Oslo
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 28 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Viking carry a model rating of 6.93 against 6.51 for KFUM Oslo. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.46 goals for Viking and 0.83 for KFUM Oslo. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Viking rate 1.10 in attack and 0.93 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; KFUM Oslo rate 0.62 and 1.25.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Viking a 66.1% chance of the title and KFUM Oslo 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Viking the highest probability at 67%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.46 expected goals for Viking against 0.83 for KFUM Oslo. Viking's attack/defence rating is 1.1/0.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.25 for KFUM Oslo.
How the model reaches 67% for Viking to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Viking to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, Viking's ratings add 5 points and KFUM Oslo's ratings add 19 points, which lands on the published 67%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Viking's ratings48%+5
- KFUM Oslo's ratings67%+19
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Viking at home · KFUM Oslo away
League matches only, Eliteserien, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Eliteserien matches this season: Viking 23, KFUM Oslo 23.
Viking score most often in the 0–15 minute window (15 goals); KFUM Oslo have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Viking
- at Tromso21 Nov · Eliteserienwin 47%
- at Atletico Madrid25 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 18%
KFUM Oslo
- vs Brann22 Nov · Eliteserienwin 35%
- at Bodo/Glimt28 Nov · Eliteserienwin 13%
- vs Fredrikstad6 Dec · Eliteserienwin 39%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.