Regular Season - 28 · 28 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction

Aspmyra Stadion

Our model says: Bodo/Glimt 2–0 KFUM Oslo

The model makes it 70% Bodo/Glimt, 19% draw, 11% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 1.43, 5.26 and 9.09.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).

Expected goals: Bodo/Glimt 2.50, KFUM Oslo 0.73.

Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.

One-sided: Bodo/Glimt are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Bodo/Glimt's rating is built from 56 Eliteserien matches and KFUM Oslo's from 56, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 691 matches.

Key facts

  • Bodo/Glimt are 2nd on 62 points from 26 games; KFUM Oslo are 10th on 31 points from 26 games — Eliteserien.
  • Bodo/Glimt have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win away to Tromso.
  • KFUM Oslo are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-5 defeat away to Viking.
  • Last 6 meetings: Bodo/Glimt 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 12 July 2026, ended KFUM Oslo 0–2 Bodo/Glimt.

More Eliteserien predictions

All Eliteserien predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo

48%
Both teams to score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Bodo/Glimt win Draw KFUM Oslo win
  1. 2–012%
  2. 3–010%
  3. 1–010%
  4. 2–19%
  5. 1–18%
  6. 3–18%
  7. 4–06%

Scores read Bodo/Glimt first; the other scorelines share the remaining 37%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Bodo/Glimt at 70%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo

Bodo/Glimt

Eliteserien

  • W2-0away to Tromso8 November 2026
  • W3-2Viking30 October 2026
  • L0-1Valerenga24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Ham-Kam17 October 2026
  • W3-1Kristiansund BK10 October 2026

KFUM Oslo

Eliteserien

  • L1-5away to Viking8 November 2026
  • D2-2Ham-Kam1 November 2026
  • D2-2away to Kristiansund BK25 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Tromso18 October 2026
  • W2-1Valerenga12 October 2026

What these results say

  • Bodo/Glimt won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • KFUM Oslo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • KFUM Oslo conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for KFUM Oslo.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Bodo/Glimt2620246323+4062
10KFUM Oslo2687113346-1331

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Bodo/Glimt

Chance to finish top of the regular season · 50% today

Win 56%
Draw 37%
Defeat 20%

KFUM Oslo

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 5% today

Win <1%
Draw 2%
Defeat 6%

From our Eliteserien season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo

  • 12 July 2026KFUM Oslo 0–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 22 April 2026Bodo/Glimt 2–1 KFUM OsloNM Cupen
  • 21 November 2025KFUM Oslo 1–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 27 April 2025Bodo/Glimt 3–0 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 27 July 2024KFUM Oslo 1–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 24 May 2024Bodo/Glimt 2–2 KFUM OsloEliteserien

Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and KFUM Oslo

Bodo/Glimt

GoalsAssists

  • A. Helmersen132

KFUM Oslo

GoalsAssists

  • B. Njie83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Bodo/Glimt a 49.9% chance of the title and KFUM Oslo 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bodo/Glimt KFUM Oslo
1.02 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.62
0.82 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.35
2.50 Model expected goals (this match) 0.73

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Bodo/Glimt the highest probability at 70%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.50 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt against 0.73 for KFUM Oslo. Bodo/Glimt's attack/defence rating is 1.02/0.82 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.35 for KFUM Oslo.

Bodo/Glimt carry a model rating of 6.96 against 6.46 for KFUM Oslo.

How the model reaches 70% for Bodo/Glimt to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Bodo/Glimt to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Bodo/Glimt's ratings add 14 points and KFUM Oslo's ratings add 14 points, which lands on the published 70%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground37%
  2. Home advantage44%+7
  3. Both sides at this match's level42%−2
  4. Bodo/Glimt's ratings56%+14
  5. KFUM Oslo's ratings70%+14

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Bodo/GlimtKFUM Oslo
26Matches26
20W 2D 4LRecord8W 7D 11L
63 2.4 per gameGoals scored33 1.3 per game
23 0.9 per gameGoals conceded46 1.8 per game
12 of 26Clean sheets5 of 26
3 of 26Failed to score5 of 26
5 of 6Penalties scored3 of 4
15 0.6 per gameYellow cards47 1.8 per game
1Red cards5
4-4-2 13×Usual shape3-4-3 23×

Bodo/Glimt at home · KFUM Oslo away

13Played13
11W 0D 2LRecord2W 4D 7L
37–10Goals for – against16–30
6 of 13Clean sheets1 of 13

League matches only, Eliteserien, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Eliteserien matches this season: Bodo/Glimt 26, KFUM Oslo 26.

Bodo/Glimt scored 3141181211
KFUM Oslo conceded 5897310

Bodo/Glimt score most often in the 16–30 minute window (14 goals); KFUM Oslo have let in 8 there.

KFUM Oslo scored 776771
Bodo/Glimt conceded 327266

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 3 matches, by difficulty

Bodo/Glimt

  • at Aalesund5 Dec · Eliteserienwin 60%
  • at Lens9 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 30%
  • vs Sarpsborg 08 FF13 Dec · Eliteserienwin 70%

KFUM Oslo

  • vs Fredrikstad6 Dec · Eliteserienwin 42%
  • at Rosenborg13 Dec · Eliteserienwin 14%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.