Ecuador LigaPro predictions

8 matches ahead, from 11 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Independiente del Valle, 55% against Aucas. 1 is marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Sunday 11 October — 8 matches

20:00 UTC Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC — model 34% / 31% / 35%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.23 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
20:00 UTC Independiente del Valle vs Aucas — model 55% / 24% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.82 · 4.17 · 4.76.
20:00 UTC Universidad Catolica Quito vs Macara — model 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.70 · 3.57.
20:00 UTC LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC — model 38% / 31% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.23 · 3.23.
20:00 UTC Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec — model 45% / 29% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.45 · 3.85.
20:00 UTC Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario — model 40% / 29% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.45 · 3.23.
20:00 UTC Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca — model 42% / 29% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.45 · 3.45.
20:00 UTC Libertad vs Leones del Norte — model 42% / 30% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.33 · 3.57.