Liga Pro

Championship Group

1. Independiente del Valle — 74 points from 30 played (24 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 73 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference +40. Form, oldest first: W D L W W.
2. Macara — 54 points from 31 played (16 won, 6 drawn, 9 lost), 43 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
3. Universidad Catolica Quito — 51 points from 31 played (14 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost), 52 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference +23. Form, oldest first: D D W W L.
4. Aucas — 50 points from 31 played (14 won, 8 drawn, 9 lost), 34 scored, 30 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W D D D L.
5. LDU de Quito — 49 points from 31 played (14 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost), 33 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: L D W D W.
6. Barcelona SC — 44 points from 30 played (11 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost), 32 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W L W D D.

Relegation Group

1. Mushuc Runa SC — 39 points from 31 played (9 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost), 36 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D D L D.
2. Deportivo Cuenca — 37 points from 31 played (10 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost), 26 scored, 38 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L W L D D.
3. Orense SC — 33 points from 31 played (9 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost), 37 scored, 49 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
4. Tecnico Universitario — 33 points from 31 played (10 won, 3 drawn, 18 lost), 29 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: W L L W D.
5. Delfin SC — 29 points from 31 played (7 won, 8 drawn, 16 lost), 20 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L W L D D.
6. Manta FC — 24 points from 31 played (6 won, 6 drawn, 19 lost), 19 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -24. Form, oldest first: W L L D W.

What moved

Nothing, since 2026-10-03. Every club's title and bottom-three chance came out of the last round where it went in: the results changed the table without changing what the model expects from the rest of the season.

Season projection

Every one of the 28 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-10-03, the last update whose numbers changed.

Championship Group

1. Independiente del Valle — projected to finish on 91.8 points, from 74 after 30 played. Wins it 100%.
2. Macara — projected to finish on 65.9 points, from 54 after 31 played. Wins it 0%.
3. Universidad Catolica Quito — projected to finish on 64.2 points, from 51 after 31 played. Wins it 0%.
4. LDU de Quito — projected to finish on 60.6 points, from 49 after 31 played. Wins it 0%.
5. Aucas — projected to finish on 59.6 points, from 50 after 31 played. Wins it 0%.
6. Barcelona SC — projected to finish on 57.7 points, from 44 after 30 played. Wins it 0%.

Relegation Group

1. Mushuc Runa SC — projected to finish on 54.2 points, from 39 after 31 played. Wins it 69.5%.
2. Deportivo Cuenca — projected to finish on 49.6 points, from 37 after 31 played. Wins it 17.8%.
3. Orense SC — projected to finish on 46.7 points, from 33 after 31 played. Wins it 9.4%.
4. Tecnico Universitario — projected to finish on 43.6 points, from 33 after 31 played. Wins it 2.6%.
5. Delfin SC — projected to finish on 40.4 points, from 29 after 31 played. Wins it 0.6%.
6. Manta FC — projected to finish on 34.9 points, from 24 after 31 played. Wins it 0%.

Top scorers

1. E. Mero (Guayaquil City FC) — 13 goals, 4 assists.
2. F. Posse (Macara) — 12 goals, 5 assists.
3. A. Campana (Macara) — 10 goals, 2 assists.
4. R. Carrillo (Emelec) — 10 goals, 3 assists.
5. J. Fajardo (Universidad Catolica Quito) — 10 goals, 3 assists.
6. Juan Luis Anangonó León (Leones del Norte) — 10 goals.
7. D. Reasco (Independiente del Valle) — 9 goals, 4 assists.
8. Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (Libertad) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
9. C. González (Independiente del Valle) — 9 goals.
10. M. Alonso (Universidad Catolica Quito) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
11. M. Perelló (Independiente del Valle) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
12. D. Benedetto (Barcelona SC) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
13. A. Herrera (Orense SC) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
14. F. Ayunta (Delfin SC) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
15. L. Klimowicz (Emelec) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
16. Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez (Independiente del Valle) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
17. M. Estrada (LDU de Quito) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
18. A. Preciado (Aucas) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
19. B. Palacios (Universidad Catolica Quito) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
20. B. Miranda (Aucas) — 6 goals.