Manta FC
vs
Delfin SC
Liga Pro prediction
Our model says: Manta FC 1–0 Delfin SC
The model makes it 41% Manta FC, 28% draw, 31% Delfin SC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Manta FC 1.50, Delfin SC 1.22.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Manta FC's rating is built from 72 Ecuador LigaPro matches and Delfin SC's from 75, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Manta FC are 16th on 33 points from 36 games; Delfin SC are 14th on 38 points from 36 games — Liga Pro, Relegation Group.
- Manta FC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Tecnico Universitario.
- Delfin SC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Mushuc Runa SC.
- Last 6 meetings: Delfin SC 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 18 October 2026, ended Delfin SC 4–2 Manta FC.
More Ecuador LigaPro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Manta FC vs Delfin SC
Has the model earned this number?
Manta FC at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Manta FC vs Delfin SC
Manta FC
Liga Pro
- W2-1away to Tecnico Universitario9 November 2026
- W3-2away to Mushuc Runa SC3 November 2026
- L0-2Deportivo Cuenca24 October 2026
- L2-4away to Delfin SC18 October 2026
- W1-0Tecnico Universitario10 October 2026
Delfin SC
Liga Pro
- L1-2away to Mushuc Runa SC9 November 2026
- W3-1Deportivo Cuenca31 October 2026
- L0-4away to Orense SC24 October 2026
- W4-2Manta FC18 October 2026
- W3-2Mushuc Runa SC9 October 2026
What these results say
- Manta FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Manta FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Delfin SC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Delfin SC had three goals or more.
- Delfin SC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 33 |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Manta FC vs Delfin SC
- 18 October 2026Delfin SC 4–2 Manta FCLiga Pro
- 15 July 2026Manta FC 0–1 Delfin SCLiga Pro
- 14 March 2026Delfin SC 0–1 Manta FCLiga Pro
- 28 June 2025Delfin SC 2–0 Manta FCLiga Pro
- 4 March 2025Manta FC 2–2 Delfin SCLiga Pro
- 5 October 2021Delfin SC 2–1 Manta FCLiga Pro
Leading scorers: Manta FC and Delfin SC
Manta FC
GoalsAssists
- José Enrique Angulo Caicedo70
Delfin SC
GoalsAssists
- F. Ayunta111
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Manta FC the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.50 expected goals for Manta FC against 1.22 for Delfin SC. Manta FC's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.81 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.65 for Delfin SC.
How the model reaches 41% for Manta FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Manta FC to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Manta FC's ratings take away 1 point and Delfin SC's ratings take away 2 points, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Manta FC's ratings43%−1
- Delfin SC's ratings41%−2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Manta FC at home · Delfin SC away
League matches only, Liga Pro, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Pro matches this season: Manta FC 35, Delfin SC 36.
Manta FC score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Delfin SC have let in 6 there.
Delfin SC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (11 goals); Manta FC have let in 11 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Manta FC
- at Deportivo Cuenca29 Nov · Liga Prowin 24%
- vs Mushuc Runa SC6 Dec · Liga Prowin 40%
- at Orense SC13 Dec · Liga Prowin 24%
Delfin SC
- vs Orense SC29 Nov · Liga Prowin 41%
- at Deportivo Cuenca6 Dec · Liga Prowin 25%
- vs Tecnico Universitario13 Dec · Liga Prowin 45%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.