Deportivo Cuenca
vs
Manta FC
Liga Pro prediction
Our model says: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Manta FC
The model makes it 49% Deportivo Cuenca, 27% draw, 24% Manta FC — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Deportivo Cuenca 1.59, Manta FC 0.94.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Deportivo Cuenca's rating is built from 76 Ecuador LigaPro matches and Manta FC's from 72, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points from 36 games; Manta FC are 16th on 33 points from 36 games — Liga Pro, Relegation Group.
- Deportivo Cuenca have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Orense SC.
- Manta FC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Tecnico Universitario.
- Last 6 meetings: Deportivo Cuenca 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 24 October 2026, ended Manta FC 0–2 Deportivo Cuenca.
More Ecuador LigaPro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC
Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo Cuenca at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Liga Pro
- W2-0Orense SC8 November 2026
- L1-3away to Delfin SC31 October 2026
- W2-0away to Manta FC24 October 2026
- W2-1Tecnico Universitario16 October 2026
- D0-0away to Orense SC11 October 2026
Manta FC
Liga Pro
- W2-1away to Tecnico Universitario9 November 2026
- W3-2away to Mushuc Runa SC3 November 2026
- L0-2Deportivo Cuenca24 October 2026
- L2-4away to Delfin SC18 October 2026
- W1-0Tecnico Universitario10 October 2026
What these results say
- Deportivo Cuenca scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Manta FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Manta FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC
- 24 October 2026Manta FC 0–2 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
- 11 August 2026Deportivo Cuenca 1–2 Manta FCLiga Pro
- 19 April 2026Manta FC 0–1 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
- 23 August 2025Manta FC 0–1 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
- 3 May 2025Deportivo Cuenca 2–0 Manta FCLiga Pro
- 22 July 2024Manta FC 1–3 Deportivo CuencaCopa Ecuador
Leading scorers: Deportivo Cuenca and Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
No player in Liga Pro's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.
Manta FC
GoalsAssists
- José Enrique Angulo Caicedo70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Deportivo Cuenca the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.59 expected goals for Deportivo Cuenca against 0.94 for Manta FC. Deportivo Cuenca's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.4 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.81 for Manta FC.
How the model reaches 49% for Deportivo Cuenca to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Deportivo Cuenca to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Deportivo Cuenca's ratings add 2 points and Manta FC's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 49%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level43%−1
- Deportivo Cuenca's ratings45%+2
- Manta FC's ratings49%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Deportivo Cuenca at home · Manta FC away
League matches only, Liga Pro, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Pro matches this season: Deportivo Cuenca 36, Manta FC 35.
Deportivo Cuenca score most often in the 61–75 minute window (8 goals); Manta FC have let in 8 there.
Manta FC score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Deportivo Cuenca have let in 8 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Deportivo Cuenca
- vs Delfin SC6 Dec · Liga Prowin 46%
- at Mushuc Runa SC13 Dec · Liga Prowin 30%
Manta FC
- vs Mushuc Runa SC6 Dec · Liga Prowin 40%
- at Orense SC13 Dec · Liga Prowin 24%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.