Brazilian Serie A predictions

Saturday 3 October — 1 match

• 21:30 UTC Atletico Mineiro vs RB Bragantino — model 43% / 30% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.33 · 3.70.

Wednesday 7 October — 5 matches

• 22:30 UTC Internacional vs Corinthians — model 39% / 31% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.23 · 3.33.
• 22:30 UTC RB Bragantino vs Mirassol — model 41% / 30% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.33 · 3.45.
• 22:30 UTC Remo vs Gremio — model 40% / 29% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.45 · 3.23.
• 23:00 UTC Vitoria vs Chapecoense — model 43% / 29% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.45 · 3.57.
• 23:30 UTC Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama — model 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.57 · 3.45.

Thursday 8 October — 3 matches

• 00:30 UTC Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00.
• 22:30 UTC Santos vs Flamengo — model 31% / 29% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.45 · 2.50.
• 23:00 UTC Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro — model 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.45 · 3.70.

Friday 9 October — 2 matches

• 00:30 UTC Palmeiras vs Bahia — model 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.57 · 4.55.
• 00:30 UTC Fluminense vs Coritiba — model 52% / 26% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 3.85 · 4.55.

Saturday 10 October — 1 match

• 20:00 UTC Vasco da Gama vs Remo — model 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 3.70 · 3.85.

Sunday 11 October — 6 matches

• 00:00 UTC Sao Paulo vs Vitoria — model 45% / 30% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.33 · 4.00.
• 19:00 UTC Atletico Mineiro vs Santos — model 42% / 29% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.45 · 3.45.
• 20:30 UTC Palmeiras vs Corinthians — model 53% / 28% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.89 · 3.57 · 5.26.
• 20:30 UTC Flamengo vs Fluminense — model 53% / 26% / 21%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.89 · 3.85 · 4.76.
• 20:30 UTC Gremio vs Internacional — model 40% / 31% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.23 · 3.45.
• 22:30 UTC Bahia vs Mirassol — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70.

Monday 12 October — 2 matches

• 19:00 UTC Coritiba vs Botafogo — model 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.57 · 3.03.
• 22:30 UTC Chapecoense vs Atletico Paranaense — model 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.33 · 3.57 · 2.38.

Tuesday 13 October — 1 match

• 00:00 UTC RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro — model 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.33 · 3.03.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

19–20 September: the model called the result of 4 of 10 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.

• Atletico Mineiro 1–1 Chapecoense — the model said 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Mirassol 2–0 Botafogo — the model said 40% / 30% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Remo 1–2 Santos — the model said 36% / 30% / 34%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Vasco da Gama 5–0 Coritiba — the model said 48% / 27% / 25%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Sao Paulo 1–0 Internacional — the model said 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Gremio 0–0 Palmeiras — the model said 29% / 29% / 42%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Corinthians 1–3 Fluminense — the model said 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro — the model said 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Flamengo 2–1 RB Bragantino — the model said 52% / 25% / 23%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
• Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Bahia — the model said 32% / 27% / 41%, most likely 1-2: result missed.