Belgium vs France: the model can't split them
Belgium host France in a game our model cannot separate: 33% for the home side, 30% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Belgium host France in a game our model cannot separate: 33% for the home side, 30% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Sweden host Poland in a game our model cannot separate: 33% for the home side, 28% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Italy here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →A quarter of league matches end level: 26.3% of the 30,633 we counted across 51 leagues over their last two completed seasons. But the league you watch changes that a lot.
More →Our model has a prediction for 76 matches this weekend (26-27 September), across 9 competitions. It is surest about Switzerland: 66% to beat FYR Macedonia, most likely 0-2. 9 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome.
More →The injury and suspension report covers 15 of the 76 matches on our board this weekend (26-27 September). Across them, 154 players are ruled out and 51 are doubtful. Inter Miami have the longest list: 9 players out for their match against Columbus Crew.
More →Netherlands 1–1 Germany finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Germany at 41%, and rated the actual result at 28%.
More →Norway 3–2 Denmark finished with Norway winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 40%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–2.
More →Armenia 2–0 Latvia finished with Armenia winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 35%, though it expected 1-0 rather than 2–0.
More →Atletico Nacional 1–1 Millonarios finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Atletico Nacional at 46%, and rated the actual result at 29%.
More →Georgia 0–1 Northern Ireland finished with Northern Ireland winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Georgia at 38%, and rated the actual result at 31%.
More →Chico host Deportivo Pasto in a game our model cannot separate: 33% for the home side, 31% for the draw and 36% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Austria here, but not by much: 41% (fair odds 2.44) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Denmark here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Norway host Portugal in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 28% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Bulgaria here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →England host Spain in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.
More →Slovenia host Scotland in a game our model cannot separate: 36% for the home side, 30% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.
More →Italy host Belgium in a game our model cannot separate: 34% for the home side, 31% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.
More →Sweden host Romania in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.
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