Denmark vs Wales UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Denmark 2-0 Wales.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Denmark, 27% draw, 31% Wales — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Denmark at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Denmark vs Wales
Line-ups
- 22F. JörgensenG
- 13R. KristensenD
- 2J. AndersenD
- 3O. ProvstgaardD
- 5J. MæhleD
- 21M. HjulmandM
- 23P. HøjbjergM
- 8G. IsaksenM
- 14M. DamsgaardM
- 17P. DorguM
- 9R. HøjlundF
- 12M. BidstrupM
- 15V. Bak JensenD
- 11A. DaghimF
- 18A. GaaeiD
- 20M. DaramyF
- 16M. HermansenG
- 4L. HøgsbergD
- 1A. JungdalG
- 10T. JørgensenM
- 12D. WardG
- 14C. RobertsD
- 2C. MephamD
- 4B. DaviesD
- 3N. WilliamsD
- 5E. AmpaduM
- 7C. SavageM
- 20D. JamesM
- 11B. JohnsonM
- 19S. ThomasM
- 13K. MooreF
- 16R. Norrington-DaviesD
- 9L. KoumasF
- 21T. KingG
- 17J. JamesM
- 18M. HarrisF
- 15J. DasilvaD
- 10L. CullenF
- 1D. CornellG
- 23C. CongreveM
Form going into Denmark vs Wales
Denmark
UEFA Nations League
- L2-3away to Norway24 September 2026
Wales
UEFA Nations League
- L0-1away to Portugal24 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Denmark vs Wales
- 26 June 2021Wales 0–4 DenmarkEuro Championship
- 16 November 2018Wales 1–2 DenmarkUEFA Nations League
- 9 September 2018Denmark 2–0 WalesUEFA Nations League
Leading scorers: Denmark and Wales
Denmark
GoalsAssists
- R. Højlund30
Wales
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Denmark beat Wales 2–0. The model had made a win for Denmark its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ben Davies (own goal) 53' for Denmark, Gustav Isaksen 66' for Denmark.