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Match preview · 23 September 2026 · UEFA Nations League

Türkiye vs France: why the model makes it France at 50%

Our model leans to France here, but not by much: 50% (fair odds 2.00) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Analysis · 5 September 2026

The Model Called Betis Right Against Real Madrid

Our model gave Real Betis 36% at home to Real Madrid and Betis won. It gave Ipswich 40% against Liverpool and Liverpool won.

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Analysis · 4 September 2026

Eighteen Matches, One Certainty

Across all eighteen Champions League opening fixtures our model gives exactly one team better than a 70% chance. The median favourite is 45%.

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