Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante: how the model saw it
Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Deportivo La Coruna at 45%, and rated the actual result at 26%.
More →Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Deportivo La Coruna at 45%, and rated the actual result at 26%.
More →Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo finished with Frosinone winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 47%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 4–2.
More →Atlante FC 1–2 Pumas UNAM finished with Pumas UNAM winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 1-2, a scoreline it rated at 9%.
More →Boca Juniors 2–1 Talleres Cordoba finished with Boca Juniors winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 58%, though it expected 1-0 rather than 2–1.
More →Brentford 1–2 Liverpool finished with Liverpool winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 1-2, a scoreline it rated at 9%.
More →Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona finished with Barcelona winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 47%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 2–5.
More →Our model leans to Atletico Mineiro here, but not by much: 58% (fair odds 1.72) against 24% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Atletico Paranaense host Palmeiras in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 28% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Botafogo go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 61%, which is fair odds of 1.64. Our published scoreline is 2-0 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Chapecoense 17% to win outright.
More →Brighton go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 61%, which is fair odds of 1.64. Our published scoreline is 2-1 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Crystal Palace 17% to win outright.
More →Getafe host Rayo Vallecano in a game our model cannot separate: 34% for the home side, 34% for the draw and 32% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Cagliari here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Tottenham host Coventry in a game our model cannot separate: 37% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.
More →Our model has a prediction for 410 matches this weekend (17-18 October), across 67 competitions. It is surest about Manchester City: 75% to beat Ipswich, most likely 3-0. 44 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome.
More →The injury and suspension report covers 117 of the 410 matches on our board this weekend (17-18 October). Across them, 698 players are ruled out and 177 are doubtful. AIK Stockholm have the longest list: 9 players out for their match against IFK Goteborg.
More →1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş finished with Beşiktaş winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to 1899 Hoffenheim at 39%, and rated the actual result at 36%.
More →Çorum FK 2–1 Rizespor finished with Çorum FK winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 2-1, a scoreline it rated at 9%.
More →Estudiantes La Plata 0–0 Flamengo finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Flamengo at 39%, and rated the actual result at 31%.
More →Our model leans to Al-Ittihad here, but not by much: 50% (fair odds 2.00) against 25% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Defensa Y Justicia here, but not by much: 40% (fair odds 2.50) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
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