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Match review · 19 October 2026 · La Liga

Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano: how the model saw it

Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Getafe at 34%, and rated the actual result at 34%.

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Match review · 19 October 2026 · Liga MX

Monterrey 2–1 CF Pachuca: the model called the exact score

Monterrey 2–1 CF Pachuca finished with Monterrey winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 2-1, a scoreline it rated at 9%.

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Match review · 19 October 2026 · Premier League

Tottenham 3–1 Coventry: how the model saw it

Tottenham 3–1 Coventry finished with Tottenham winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 43%, though it expected 1-0 rather than 3–1.

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Match preview · 19 October 2026 · Serie A

Corinthians vs Vitoria: Corinthians favoured at 45%

Our model leans to Corinthians here, but not by much: 45% (fair odds 2.22) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 19 October 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Newell's Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago: Newell's Old Boys favoured at 44%

Our model leans to Newell's Old Boys here, but not by much: 44% (fair odds 2.27) against 32% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 19 October 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central: why the model makes it Sarmiento Junin at 40%

Our model leans to Sarmiento Junin here, but not by much: 40% (fair odds 2.50) against 31% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 19 October 2026 · UEFA Champions League

Bayern München vs Arsenal: why the model makes it Bayern München at 46%

Our model leans to Bayern München here, but not by much: 46% (fair odds 2.17) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 19 October 2026 · UEFA Champions League

Como vs Manchester United: why the model makes it Como at 50%

Our model leans to Como here, but not by much: 50% (fair odds 2.00) against 24% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 19 October 2026 · UEFA Champions League

Real Betis vs Feyenoord: why the model makes it Real Betis at 47%

Our model leans to Real Betis here, but not by much: 47% (fair odds 2.13) against 23% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match review · 18 October 2026 · Serie A

AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta: how the model saw it

AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta finished with AC Milan winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 42%, though it expected 1-0 rather than 3–2.

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Match review · 18 October 2026 · Premier League

Leeds 1–1 Manchester United: how the model saw it

Leeds 1–1 Manchester United finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Manchester United at 39%, and rated the actual result at 27%.

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Match review · 18 October 2026 · Liga MX

Leon 3–5 Club America: how the model saw it

Leon 3–5 Club America finished with Club America winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 44%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 3–5.

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Match review · 18 October 2026 · Serie A

Sao Paulo 1–0 Vasco da Gama: the model called the exact score

Sao Paulo 1–0 Vasco da Gama finished with Sao Paulo winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 1-0, a scoreline it rated at 12%.

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Match preview · 18 October 2026 · Serie A

Bahia vs Flamengo: Flamengo favoured at 41%

Our model leans to Flamengo here, but not by much: 41% (fair odds 2.44) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 18 October 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate: why the model makes it Belgrano Cordoba at 43%

Our model leans to Belgrano Cordoba here, but not by much: 43% (fair odds 2.33) against 32% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 18 October 2026 · Serie A

Remo vs RB Bragantino: the model can't split them

Remo host RB Bragantino in a game our model cannot separate: 37% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.

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Match preview · 18 October 2026 · UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: a genuine coin flip by the numbers

Fenerbahçe host Slavia Praha in a game our model cannot separate: 42% for the home side, 24% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.

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Match preview · 18 October 2026 · UEFA Champions League

Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC: Manchester City favoured at 56%

Our model leans to Manchester City here, but not by much: 56% (fair odds 1.79) against 23% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 18 October 2026 · UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona: a genuine coin flip by the numbers

Paris Saint Germain host Barcelona in a game our model cannot separate: 41% for the home side, 24% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.

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Match preview · 18 October 2026 · UEFA Champions League

VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid: the model can't split them

VfB Stuttgart host Atletico Madrid in a game our model cannot separate: 36% for the home side, 25% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.

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