Boca Juniors
vs
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Boca Juniors 1–0 Talleres Cordoba
The model makes it 52% Boca Juniors, 28% draw, 20% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 1.92, 3.57 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (14%).
Expected goals: Boca Juniors 1.83, Talleres Cordoba 0.71.
Both teams to score: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: High.
Published
Key facts
- Boca Juniors are 3rd on 20 points from 11 games; Talleres Cordoba are 14th on 8 points from 10 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group A.
- Boca Juniors are unbeaten in their last 5 (4 won), most recently a 3-0 win at home to Union Santa Fe.
- Talleres Cordoba have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 1-3 defeat away to Instituto Cordoba.
- Last 6 meetings: Boca Juniors 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 2 April 2026, ended Talleres Cordoba 0–1 Boca Juniors.
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Boca Juniors at 52% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 705 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba
Boca Juniors
- W3-0Union Santa Fe3 October 2026
- W2-0away to San Lorenzo20 September 2026
- W3-1Central Cordoba de Santiago12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Gimnasia Mendoza5 September 2026
- W1-0Lanus29 August 2026
Talleres Cordoba
- L1-3away to Instituto Cordoba20 September 2026
- W2-1Union Santa Fe12 September 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo5 September 2026
- D0-0Central Cordoba de Santiago30 August 2026
- D2-2Rosario Central25 August 2026
What these results say
- Boca Juniors went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Boca Juniors scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Boca Juniors won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba
- 2 April 2026Talleres Cordoba 0–1 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 November 2025Boca Juniors 2–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 September 2024Boca Juniors 1–1 Talleres CordobaCopa Argentina
- 25 May 2024Boca Juniors 0–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 January 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–2 Boca JuniorsFriendlies Clubs
- 16 October 2023Talleres Cordoba 1–1 Boca JuniorsCopa Argentina
Leading scorers: Boca Juniors and Talleres Cordoba
Boca Juniors
- M. Merentiel7 goals2 assists
Talleres Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Boca Juniors carry a model rating of 6.87 against 6.55 for Talleres Cordoba. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.83 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.71 for Talleres Cordoba. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Boca Juniors rate 1.07 in attack and 1.02 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Talleres Cordoba rate 0.76 and 1.39.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Boca Juniors a 15.5% chance of the title and Talleres Cordoba 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Boca Juniors the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.83 expected goals for Boca Juniors against 0.71 for Talleres Cordoba. Boca Juniors's attack/defence rating is 1.07/1.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.39 for Talleres Cordoba.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Boca Juniors at home · Talleres Cordoba away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Boca Juniors 28, Talleres Cordoba 27.
Boca Juniors score most often in the 76–90 minute window (11 goals); Talleres Cordoba have let in 10 there.
Talleres Cordoba score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Boca Juniors have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Boca Juniors
- at Vasco da Gama21 Oct · CONMEBOL Sudamericanawin 37%
- at Independiente25 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 39%
- vs River Plate1 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 46%
Talleres Cordoba
- vs Defensa Y Justicia25 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 36%
- at Deportivo Riestra1 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 29%
- vs Estudiantes La Plata8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 34%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.