Scottish Premiership predictions

Saturday 10 October — 4 matches

• 14:00 UTC Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren — model 54% / 26% / 20%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.85 · 3.85 · 5.00.
• 14:00 UTC Rangers vs Kilmarnock — model 63% / 21% / 16%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.59 · 4.76 · 6.25.
• 14:00 UTC Dundee United vs Hibernian — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 14:00 UTC Falkirk vs Dundee — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13.

Sunday 11 October — 2 matches

• 11:00 UTC Motherwell vs Celtic — model 29% / 27% / 44%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.45 · 3.70 · 2.27.
• 13:00 UTC Aberdeen vs St Johnstone — model 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.45 · 3.13.

Saturday 17 October — 5 matches

• 14:00 UTC Hibernian vs Falkirk — model 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.57 · 3.57.
• 14:00 UTC Kilmarnock vs Motherwell — model 33% / 27% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.70 · 2.50.
• 14:00 UTC Aberdeen vs St Mirren — model 43% / 30% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.33 · 3.70.
• 14:00 UTC St Johnstone vs Dundee United — model 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.57 · 3.45.
• 19:00 UTC Dundee vs Rangers — model 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 3.70 · 2.22.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

19–20 September: the model called the result of 1 of 6 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• Dundee 2–1 Motherwell — the model said 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
• Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen — the model said 38% / 29% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• St Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk — the model said 41% / 30% / 29%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• St Mirren 0–3 Dundee United — the model said 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Kilmarnock 1–1 Heart of Midlothian — the model said 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Celtic 0–1 Rangers — the model said 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 2-1: result missed.