Rangers
vs
Aberdeen
Premiership prediction
Our model says: Rangers 2–0 Aberdeen
The model makes it 71% Rangers, 18% draw, 11% Aberdeen — fair odds of 1.41, 5.56 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Rangers 2.64, Aberdeen 0.77.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Rangers are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Rangers's rating is built from 50 Scottish Premiership matches and Aberdeen's from 50, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 543 matches.
Key facts
- Rangers are 2nd on 27 points from 12 games; Aberdeen are 11th on 11 points from 12 games — Premiership.
- Rangers are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-0 win away to St Mirren.
- Aberdeen are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-4 defeat at home to Hibernian.
- Last 6 meetings: Rangers 6 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 31 October 2026, ended Rangers 1–0 Aberdeen.
More Scottish Premiership predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Rangers vs Aberdeen
Has the model earned this number?
Rangers at 71%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Rangers vs Aberdeen
Rangers
Premiership
- W2-0away to St Mirren7 November 2026
- D2-2away to Heart of Midlothian28 October 2026
- W4-0St Johnstone24 October 2026
- D2-2away to Dundee17 October 2026
- W3-1Kilmarnock10 October 2026
Aberdeen
Premiership
- L0-4Hibernian7 November 2026
- L0-1Falkirk28 October 2026
- L2-3away to Dundee United24 October 2026
- W3-1St Mirren17 October 2026
- L0-1St Johnstone11 October 2026
What these results say
- Rangers went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Rangers scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rangers had three goals or more.
- Aberdeen conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Aberdeen failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Rangers
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 39% today
Aberdeen
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 61% today
From our Premiership season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Rangers vs Aberdeen
- 31 October 2026Rangers 1–0 AberdeenLeague Cup
- 30 August 2026Aberdeen 0–1 RangersPremiership
- 21 March 2026Rangers 4–1 AberdeenPremiership
- 11 January 2026Aberdeen 0–2 RangersPremiership
- 6 January 2026Rangers 2–0 AberdeenPremiership
- 11 May 2025Rangers 4–0 AberdeenPremiership
Leading scorers: Rangers and Aberdeen
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi63
- K. Kelsy40
Aberdeen
GoalsAssists
- K. Nisbet43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Rangers a 38.8% chance of the title and Aberdeen 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rangers the highest probability at 71%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.64 expected goals for Rangers against 0.77 for Aberdeen. Rangers's attack/defence rating is 0.93/1.14 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.68 for Aberdeen.
How the model reaches 71% for Rangers to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Rangers to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Rangers's ratings add 15 points and Aberdeen's ratings add 13 points, which lands on the published 71%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level43%−1
- Rangers's ratings58%+15
- Aberdeen's ratings71%+13
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Rangers at home · Aberdeen away
League matches only, Premiership, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
RangersAberdeen
Rangers are 2nd after 12 Premiership matches (between 1st and 9th so far); Aberdeen are 11th after 12 (between 2nd and 11th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premiership matches this season: Rangers 12, Aberdeen 12.
Aberdeen score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Rangers have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Rangers
- vs Falkirk28 Nov · Premiershipwin 59%
- vs Dundee United2 Dec · Premiershipwin 65%
- at Hibernian7 Dec · Premiershipwin 46%
- at St Johnstone13 Dec · Premiershipwin 53%
Aberdeen
- vs Dundee28 Nov · Premiershipwin 35%
- at Heart of Midlothian2 Dec · Premiershipwin 18%
- vs Dundee United5 Dec · Premiershipwin 36%
- at Falkirk12 Dec · Premiershipwin 19%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.