Premiership

1. Celtic — 28 points from 11 played (9 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 27 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +19. Form, oldest first: L W W W D.
2. Rangers — 24 points from 11 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 19 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
3. Heart of Midlothian — 20 points from 11 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 24 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: D W L W D.
4. Dundee — 17 points from 11 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W W D L W.
5. Dundee United — 16 points from 11 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
6. Falkirk — 15 points from 11 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D L W W W.
7. St Mirren — 14 points from 11 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 12 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L L W D.
8. St Johnstone — 13 points from 11 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D W D L D.
9. Aberdeen — 11 points from 11 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L W L L.
10. Motherwell — 9 points from 11 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 13 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
11. Hibernian — 8 points from 11 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 11 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D L L L D.
12. Kilmarnock — 8 points from 11 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 11 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: D L W L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 8 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Kilmarnock — bottom-three risk down 0.9, to 76.7%.
• Aberdeen — bottom-three risk up 0.6, to 41.6%.
• Celtic — chance of finishing top down 0.3, to 74%.
• Rangers — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 22.3%.
• Dundee — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 3.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 132 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. Movement is measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Celtic — projected to finish on 76.1 points, from 28 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 74% (down 0.3), finishes top six 99.9%, bottom three 0%.
2. Rangers — projected to finish on 68.7 points, from 24 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 22.3% (up 0.2), finishes top six 100%, bottom three 0%.
3. Heart of Midlothian — projected to finish on 59.2 points, from 20 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.4% (down 0.1), finishes top six 98.2%, bottom three 0.1%.
4. Dundee — projected to finish on 47.9 points, from 17 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top six 77%, bottom three 3.4%.
5. Falkirk — projected to finish on 44.9 points, from 15 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 62.8%, bottom three 8%.
6. Dundee United — projected to finish on 44.7 points, from 16 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top six 60.5%, bottom three 11.7%.
7. Motherwell — projected to finish on 37.6 points, from 9 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 25.6%, bottom three 33.4%.
8. St Johnstone — projected to finish on 37.5 points, from 13 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 22.2%, bottom three 33.5%.
9. Aberdeen — projected to finish on 35.9 points, from 11 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 17.5%, bottom three 41.6%.
10. Hibernian — projected to finish on 35.5 points, from 8 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 17.5%, bottom three 43%.
11. St Mirren — projected to finish on 35.1 points, from 14 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 15%, bottom three 48.6%.
12. Kilmarnock — projected to finish on 29.3 points, from 8 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top six 4%, bottom three 76.7%.

Top scorers

1. C. Durán (Celtic) — 7 goals, 5 assists.
2. B. Nygren (Celtic) — 6 goals, 4 assists.
3. J. Fowler (St Johnstone) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
4. R. Naderi (Rangers) — 5 goals, 3 assists.
5. Cláudio Braga (Heart of Midlothian) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
6. J. Murrell (Falkirk) — 5 goals.
7. C. Miller (Heart of Midlothian) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
8. B. Fink (Dundee) — 4 goals.
9. K. Kelsy (Rangers) — 4 goals.
10. K. Nisbet (Aberdeen) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
11. J. McPake (Heart of Midlothian) — 3 goals, 5 assists.
12. K. Høgh (Celtic) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
13. A. Lowry (Motherwell) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
14. G. Kiltie (Kilmarnock) — 3 goals.
15. J. Wilson (Heart of Midlothian) — 3 goals.
16. L. Mendy (Heart of Midlothian) — 3 goals.
17. A. Hay (Dundee) — 3 goals.
18. K. Phillips (St Mirren) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
19. Z. Sapsford (Dundee United) — 3 goals.
20. J. Westley (Dundee) — 3 goals.