League Tables

Premiership

The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works.

  1. Celtic — 18 points from 6 played (6 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost), 14 scored, 3 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
  2. Rangers — 13 points from 6 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 7 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
  3. Heart of Midlothian — 12 points from 5 played (4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 12 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
  4. St Mirren — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W D W L L.
  5. Motherwell — 8 points from 5 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 8 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W D D W L.
  6. Dundee — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W W L D L.
  7. St Johnstone — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 8 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
  8. Hibernian — 6 points from 5 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W W L L.
  9. Dundee United — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L W L D.
  10. Aberdeen — 4 points from 5 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 2 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W L L L D.
  11. Falkirk — 2 points from 5 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 3 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L D L L D.
  12. Kilmarnock — 1 points from 5 played (0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 4 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.

Season projection

Every one of the 165 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only.

  1. Celtic — projected to finish on 65.5 points, from 18 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 60.4%, finishes top four 98.2%, bottom three 0%.
  2. Rangers — projected to finish on 58.7 points, from 13 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.9%, finishes top four 88.9%, bottom three 0%.
  3. Heart of Midlothian — projected to finish on 58.5 points, from 12 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 17.9%, finishes top four 88.5%, bottom three 0.1%.
  4. Motherwell — projected to finish on 52.2 points, from 8 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.7%, finishes top four 61.8%, bottom three 1.5%.
  5. Hibernian — projected to finish on 47.1 points, from 6 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.7%, finishes top four 27.7%, bottom three 6.8%.
  6. St Johnstone — projected to finish on 42.7 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 11.1%, bottom three 19.4%.
  7. St Mirren — projected to finish on 42.7 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 10.7%, bottom three 19.1%.
  8. Dundee — projected to finish on 38.8 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 4%, bottom three 37.3%.
  9. Falkirk — projected to finish on 38.1 points, from 2 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 3.6%, bottom three 42.4%.
  10. Dundee United — projected to finish on 38 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.9%, bottom three 43.7%.
  11. Aberdeen — projected to finish on 36.6 points, from 4 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.1%, bottom three 53%.
  12. Kilmarnock — projected to finish on 32.2 points, from 1 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom three 76.8%.

Top scorers

  1. J. Fowler (St Johnstone) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
  2. C. Durán (Celtic) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
  3. B. Nygren (Celtic) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
  4. K. Høgh (Celtic) — 3 goals.
  5. L. Shankland (Rangers) — 3 goals.
  6. K. Phillips (St Mirren) — 3 goals.
  7. J. McPake (Heart of Midlothian) — 2 goals, 3 assists.
  8. J. Westley (Dundee) — 2 goals.
  9. Yang Hyun-Jun (Celtic) — 2 goals.
  10. C. Wright (Hibernian) — 2 goals.
  11. J. Wilson (Heart of Midlothian) — 2 goals.
  12. Cláudio Braga (Heart of Midlothian) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
  13. M. Boyle (Hibernian) — 2 goals.
  14. Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise (Motherwell) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
  15. Samu (St Mirren) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
  16. J. Randall (Dundee United) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
  17. J. Bevan (Dundee) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
  18. R. Naderi (Rangers) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
  19. S. Kerjota (Heart of Midlothian) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
  20. A. Lowry (Motherwell) — 1 goal, 1 assist.

Other competitions

All 51 competitions we cover.