Eredivisie predictions

Friday 9 October — 1 match

• 18:00 UTC PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen — model 59% / 22% / 19%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.69 · 4.55 · 5.26.

Saturday 10 October — 4 matches

• 14:30 UTC GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam — model 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.17.
• 16:45 UTC Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar — model 46% / 26% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.85 · 3.57.
• 18:00 UTC Fortuna Sittard vs Twente — model 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 3.70 · 2.22.
• 19:00 UTC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen — model 54% / 24% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.17 · 4.55.

Sunday 11 October — 4 matches

• 10:15 UTC Utrecht vs Willem II — model 55% / 24% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.82 · 4.17 · 4.76.
• 12:30 UTC PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur — model 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.70 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 12:30 UTC Telstar vs ADO Den Haag — model 45% / 29% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.45 · 3.85.
• 14:45 UTC Excelsior vs Groningen — model 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.57 · 3.23.

Friday 16 October — 1 match

• 18:00 UTC Heerenveen vs Excelsior — model 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.45 · 3.13.

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

• 14:30 UTC ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven — model 17% / 21% / 62%, most likely 1-3, fair odds 5.88 · 4.76 · 1.61.
• 18:00 UTC Telstar vs Feyenoord — model 23% / 27% / 50%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.35 · 3.70 · 2.00.
• 19:00 UTC Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II — model 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 3.70 · 3.85.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

18–20 September: the model called the result of 4 of 9 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• Groningen 3–0 PEC Zwolle — the model said 48% / 27% / 25%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• ADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur — the model said 38% / 29% / 33%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen — the model said 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Ajax 2–2 Excelsior — the model said 43% / 29% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Willem II 0–1 Fortuna Sittard — the model said 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Feyenoord 5–0 Utrecht — the model said 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar — the model said 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Twente 3–2 PSV Eindhoven — the model said 35% / 30% / 35%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• NEC Nijmegen 1–1 GO Ahead Eagles — the model said 39% / 27% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result missed.