Eredivisie

1. PSV Eindhoven — 16 points from 6 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 22 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. AZ Alkmaar — 16 points from 6 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 17 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
3. Feyenoord — 14 points from 6 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 20 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +13. Form, oldest first: D W D W W.
4. Twente — 13 points from 6 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 12 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
5. Ajax — 10 points from 5 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 14 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W D W L W.
6. Excelsior — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 13 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: L W W D L.
7. Fortuna Sittard — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W L W W L.
8. GO Ahead Eagles — 9 points from 6 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W L D D.
9. Groningen — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W L L D D.
10. NEC Nijmegen — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W W L D L.
11. Heerenveen — 6 points from 6 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 7 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D L D.
12. Sparta Rotterdam — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
13. Telstar — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 5 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
14. Utrecht — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L D L D W.
15. Cambuur — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 9 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L L D W.
16. PEC Zwolle — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 6 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.
17. Willem II — 2 points from 5 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 5 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
18. ADO Den Haag — 1 points from 6 played (0 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 6 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 18 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• PSV Eindhoven — chance of finishing top up 3.8, to 73.7%.
• Sparta Rotterdam — bottom-three risk up 2.7, to 22.6%.
• PEC Zwolle — bottom-three risk down 1.4, to 45.7%.
• Feyenoord — chance of finishing top down 1.3, to 8.4%.
• AZ Alkmaar — chance of finishing top down 1, to 7.8%.

Season projection

Every one of the 253 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. PSV Eindhoven — projected to finish on 70.5 points, from 16 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 73.7% (up 3.8), finishes top four 98.3%, bottom three 0%.
2. Feyenoord — projected to finish on 59.4 points, from 14 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.4% (down 1.3), finishes top four 69.4%, bottom three 0%.
3. AZ Alkmaar — projected to finish on 59.4 points, from 16 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 7.8% (down 1), finishes top four 68.8%, bottom three 0%.
4. Ajax — projected to finish on 58.2 points, from 10 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.2% (down 0.7), finishes top four 62.5%, bottom three 0.1%.
5. Twente — projected to finish on 55.5 points, from 13 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.8% (down 0.9), finishes top four 45.1%, bottom three 0.1%.
6. NEC Nijmegen — projected to finish on 48.5 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4%, finishes top four 12.6%, bottom three 2.8%.
7. Groningen — projected to finish on 47.2 points, from 8 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (down 0.1), finishes top four 8.9%, bottom three 3.7%.
8. GO Ahead Eagles — projected to finish on 47.1 points, from 9 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 8.9%, bottom three 4.2%.
9. Excelsior — projected to finish on 46.9 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (up 0.1), finishes top four 8.1%, bottom three 4%.
10. Fortuna Sittard — projected to finish on 45.9 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 0.1), finishes top four 5.9%, bottom three 6.4%.
11. Utrecht — projected to finish on 45.6 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 6%, bottom three 6.3%.
12. Heerenveen — projected to finish on 43 points, from 6 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 2.7%, bottom three 12.5%.
13. Telstar — projected to finish on 40.3 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.1%, bottom three 21.9%.
14. Sparta Rotterdam — projected to finish on 40.1 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.2%, bottom three 22.6%.
15. PEC Zwolle — projected to finish on 36.2 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 45.7%.
16. Cambuur — projected to finish on 35.5 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 50.1%.
17. Willem II — projected to finish on 34.3 points, from 2 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 56.9%.
18. ADO Den Haag — projected to finish on 33.2 points, from 1 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 62.8%.

Top scorers

1. G. Zechiël (Feyenoord) — 5 goals, 3 assists.
2. S. Tengstedt (GO Ahead Eagles) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
3. Artem Stepanov (Utrecht) — 5 goals.
4. M. Zonneveld (Sparta Rotterdam) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
5. S. Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
6. B. Willumsson (Groningen) — 4 goals.
7. R. Daal (AZ Alkmaar) — 4 goals.
8. R. El Arguioui (Cambuur) — 4 goals.
9. M. Ihattaren (Fortuna Sittard) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
10. V. Edvardsen (GO Ahead Eagles) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
11. T. van Bergen (Groningen) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
12. I. Hamache (Cambuur) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
13. L. Zeefuik (Fortuna Sittard) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
14. L. Valente (Feyenoord) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
15. A. Hadj-Moussa (Feyenoord) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
16. D. Haen (Willem II) — 3 goals.
17. D. Garden (Excelsior) — 3 goals.
18. W. Weghorst (Twente) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
19. A. Ueda (Feyenoord) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
20. R. Pepi (PSV Eindhoven) — 3 goals.