Eredivisie

1. Feyenoord — 24 points from 10 played (7 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 32 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +21. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
2. Ajax — 21 points from 10 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 29 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +16. Form, oldest first: W D D W W.
3. PSV Eindhoven — 20 points from 10 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 28 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.
4. Twente — 20 points from 10 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 19 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W D L W.
5. AZ Alkmaar — 20 points from 10 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 20 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: D W L D L.
6. Fortuna Sittard — 18 points from 10 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 17 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L W D D W.
7. Heerenveen — 15 points from 10 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 18 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
8. Groningen — 15 points from 10 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 24 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D W W L D.
9. GO Ahead Eagles — 14 points from 10 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 23 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D D D L W.
10. Cambuur — 12 points from 10 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 19 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D W D W.
11. Utrecht — 12 points from 10 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 17 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
12. NEC Nijmegen — 11 points from 10 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L D D D D.
13. Excelsior — 11 points from 10 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 16 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L D L L L.
14. Sparta Rotterdam — 9 points from 10 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 17 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
15. PEC Zwolle — 8 points from 10 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 11 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L L L W D.
16. Telstar — 6 points from 10 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 12 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: D L D L L.
17. ADO Den Haag — 6 points from 10 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 13 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L D D W L.
18. Willem II — 2 points from 10 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost), 10 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference -22. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-25, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 17 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• ADO Den Haag — bottom-three risk down 5.4, to 30.7%.
• AZ Alkmaar — chance of finishing top down 4.2, to 3.1%; bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 0.1%.
• Twente — chance of finishing top up 4.1, to 6.6%.
• Feyenoord — chance of finishing top up 3.2, to 45.6%.
• Ajax — chance of finishing top down 2.8, to 11.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 216 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-25, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Feyenoord — projected to finish on 75 points, from 24 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 45.6% (up 3.2), finishes top four 94.6%, bottom three 0%.
2. PSV Eindhoven — projected to finish on 72.7 points, from 20 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 32.8% (down 0.5), finishes top four 91.4%, bottom three 0%.
3. Ajax — projected to finish on 66.7 points, from 21 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 11.4% (down 2.8), finishes top four 73.3%, bottom three 0%.
4. Twente — projected to finish on 65.1 points, from 20 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.6% (up 4.1), finishes top four 67.8%, bottom three 0%.
5. AZ Alkmaar — projected to finish on 61.2 points, from 20 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.1% (down 4.2), finishes top four 44.3%, bottom three 0.1%.
6. Heerenveen — projected to finish on 50.8 points, from 15 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3%, finishes top four 8.6%, bottom three 0.7%.
7. Groningen — projected to finish on 49.8 points, from 15 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (up 0.2), finishes top four 6.7%, bottom three 1.1%.
8. Fortuna Sittard — projected to finish on 48.9 points, from 18 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 4%, bottom three 1.3%.
9. GO Ahead Eagles — projected to finish on 44.6 points, from 14 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 3.9%, bottom three 5.5%.
10. NEC Nijmegen — projected to finish on 43.9 points, from 11 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.5%, bottom three 6%.
11. Utrecht — projected to finish on 43.1 points, from 12 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.5%, bottom three 6.8%.
12. Cambuur — projected to finish on 42 points, from 12 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.1%, bottom three 9.9%.
13. Excelsior — projected to finish on 38.9 points, from 11 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 14.6%.
14. Telstar — projected to finish on 35.3 points, from 6 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 27.7%.
15. ADO Den Haag — projected to finish on 34.9 points, from 6 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 30.7%.
16. Sparta Rotterdam — projected to finish on 31.8 points, from 9 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 48.4%.
17. PEC Zwolle — projected to finish on 31.4 points, from 8 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 49.4%.
18. Willem II — projected to finish on 15.5 points, from 2 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 97.9%.

Top scorers

1. S. Tengstedt (GO Ahead Eagles) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
2. B. Willumsson (Groningen) — 8 goals.
3. J. Brandt (Ajax) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
4. J. Trenskow (Heerenveen) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
5. M. Zonneveld (Sparta Rotterdam) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
6. G. Til (PSV Eindhoven) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
7. Nacho Ferri (Feyenoord) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
8. A. Hadj-Moussa (Feyenoord) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
9. T. van Bergen (Groningen) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
10. G. Zechiël (Feyenoord) — 5 goals, 4 assists.
11. I. Hamache (Cambuur) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
12. N. Binder (Cambuur) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
13. R. El Arguioui (Cambuur) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
14. T. Arokodare (Ajax) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
15. S. Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
16. R. Daal (AZ Alkmaar) — 5 goals.
17. A. Descotte (Fortuna Sittard) — 5 goals.
18. Artem Stepanov (Utrecht) — 5 goals.
19. S. Sigurðarson (GO Ahead Eagles) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
20. T. Owusu (Telstar) — 4 goals.