RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: a genuine coin flip by the numbers
RB Bragantino host Cruzeiro in a game our model cannot separate: 37% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.
More →RB Bragantino host Cruzeiro in a game our model cannot separate: 37% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.
More →Stoke City host Middlesbrough in a game our model cannot separate: 33% for the home side, 28% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.
More →Villarreal host Napoli in a game our model cannot separate: 39% for the home side, 25% for the draw and 36% for the visitors.
More →Tigres UANL 3–2 Toluca finished with Tigres UANL winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 40%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–2.
More →Union Santa Fe 0–2 Defensa Y Justicia finished with Defensa Y Justicia winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Union Santa Fe at 38%, and rated the actual result at 35%.
More →Our model leans to Newcastle here, but not by much: 47% (fair odds 2.13) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Levante here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Torino host Udinese in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 27% for the draw and 38% for the visitors.
More →Our model has a prediction for 321 matches this weekend (10-11 October), across 49 competitions. It is surest about Bodo/Glimt: 78% to beat Kristiansund BK, most likely 3-0. 42 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome.
More →The injury and suspension report covers 111 of the 408 matches on our board this weekend (10-11 October). Across them, 557 players are ruled out and 260 are doubtful. AIK Stockholm have the longest list: 12 players out for their match against IF Brommapojkarna.
More →Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Atletico Mineiro finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Atletico Paranaense at 47%, and rated the actual result at 27%.
More →Santos 2–2 Flamengo finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Flamengo at 42%, and rated the actual result at 27%.
More →Fluminense 4–0 Coritiba finished with Fluminense winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 64%, though it expected 2-0 rather than 4–0.
More →Lens 2–1 Lyon finished with Lens winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 2-1, a scoreline it rated at 9%.
More →Malaga 1–1 Espanyol finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Espanyol at 37%, and rated the actual result at 32%.
More →Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia finished with Palmeiras winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 1-0, a scoreline it rated at 14%.
More →Alianza Valledupar host Águilas Doradas in a game our model cannot separate: 37% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.
More →Derry City host St Patrick's Athletic in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 31% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Instituto Cordoba host Boca Juniors in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 31% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to AS Roma here, but not by much: 45% (fair odds 2.22) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
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