Ligue 3 predictions

17 matches ahead, from 3 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Rouen, 59% against Bourg-en-bresse 01. 2 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Saturday 3 October — 8 matches

18:45 UTC Amiens vs Villefranche — model 58% / 23% / 19%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.72 · 4.35 · 5.26.
18:45 UTC Concarneau vs Gobelins — model 45% / 31% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.23 · 4.17.
18:45 UTC Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos — model 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.85 · 3.45.
18:45 UTC Versailles vs Valenciennes — model 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.17.
18:45 UTC Fleury 91 vs Caen — model 44% / 27% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.70 · 3.45.
18:45 UTC Rouen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 — model 59% / 25% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.69 · 4.00 · 6.25.
18:45 UTC La Roche VF vs Aubagne — model 53% / 27% / 20%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.89 · 3.70 · 5.00.
18:45 UTC Cannes vs Quevilly — model 49% / 30% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.33 · 4.76.

Thursday 15 October — 1 match

18:45 UTC Caen vs La Roche VF — model 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.57 · 3.03.

Saturday 17 October — 8 matches

12:45 UTC Valenciennes vs Amiens — model 34% / 28% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.57 · 2.63.
12:45 UTC Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 — model 27% / 28% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.70 · 3.57 · 2.22.
12:45 UTC Quevilly vs Orleans — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33.
12:45 UTC Concarneau vs Bastia — model 33% / 31% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.23 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
12:45 UTC Villefranche vs Cannes — model 24% / 29% / 47%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.17 · 3.45 · 2.13.
12:45 UTC Gobelins vs Rouen — model 27% / 31% / 42%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.70 · 3.23 · 2.38.
12:45 UTC Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot — model 34% / 29% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.45 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
12:45 UTC Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles — model 41% / 26% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.85 · 3.03.