Lokomotiv Sofia sit 13th in the First League on 4 points from 8 matches, having scored 10 and conceded 16. The model rates their attack at 0.56× the league average and their defence at 2.15× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 draws and 3 defeats, most recently drawing with Cherno More Varna 2-2 away. That is 0.50 points a match, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.00 per game across 0 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 21 points behind Levski Sofia at the top, in a table of 14. Among the 14 rated sides in the division that is the 5th-best attack and the 12th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host CSKA Sofia in the First League on 16 September 2026, a match the model gives them 30%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 20 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 13 of 14, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2away to Cherno More Varna11 September 2026
- L1-2Ludogorets6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Dunav Ruse31 August 2026
- L1-3away to Arda Kardzhali17 August 2026
- L1-3CSKA 19488 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia host CSKA Sofia at Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia on 16 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The model makes it 30% Lokomotiv Sofia, 27% draw and 43% CSKA Sofia, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.40 expected goals for Lokomotiv Sofia against 1.92. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Full preview and model analysis for Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
Recent meetings with CSKA Sofia
- 8 March 2026CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 13 December 2025CSKA Sofia 2–1 Lokomotiv SofiaCup
- 27 September 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 2 April 2025CSKA Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 16 September 2024Lokomotiv Sofia 0–3 CSKA SofiaFirst League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.